Writers of Pro Football Prospectus 2008

12 Nov 2004, 03:16pm by Aaron Schatz

NFC Midseason Review

Can anybody keep the Eagles out of the Super Bowl? Why are our preseason picks of Green Bay and Tampa Bay looking better now than they were a month ago? Aaron analyzes the first half of the season in the NFC through the Football Outsiders lens and predicts which teams will improve and decline with the brand new Midseason DVOA Projection System.

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3 comments, Last at 27 Mar 2007, 12:22am by car remover wax

09 Nov 2004, 12:38pm by Aaron Schatz

Week 9 DVOA Ratings

Here are the Football Outsiders team efficiency ratings after Week 9, along with Aaron's usual commentary for the math-o-phobic. Aaron explains why, despite consecutive victories over New England and Philadelphia, the Pittsburgh Steelers are still ranked third. He also has some thoughts on the Colts and Vikings from last night's Monday Night Football contest.

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02 Nov 2004, 03:46pm by Aaron Schatz

Week 8 DVOA Ratings

Here are the Football Outsiders team efficiency ratings after Week 8, along with Aaron's usual commentary for the math-o-phobic. This week's discussion topics include the Patriots loss and their upcoming opponents in St. Louis -- by far our lowest-ranked winning team. Plus, what upcoming schedules have to say about which teams are going to make the AFC playoffs.

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02 Nov 2004, 02:54am by Aaron Schatz

The Special Teams Manifesto II

Finally, the long-awaited explanation of changes in our special teams metrics, including a discussion of the effect of weather and altitude on special teams and tons of lists of the best and worst special teams units of the season so far.

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3 comments, Last at 02 Sep 2006, 6:00am by apply auto loan online

26 Oct 2004, 01:42pm by Aaron Schatz

Week 7 DVOA Ratings

Here are the Football Outsiders team efficiency ratings after Week 7, although without Aaron’s usual commentary for the math-o-phobic (he's a bit under the weather). Lots of turnover this week as the teams ranked three through seven last week all lost, and many unexpected teams won.

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21 Oct 2004, 10:48pm by Aaron Schatz

VOA Mailbag

It's another edition of our mailbag, where Aaron answers your questions related to VOA and other statistics from Football Outsiders. This week: What the heck happened to the Green Bay defense, a further explanation of special teams, and a look at the historic ineptitude of the Miami offense. Plus, could it be better for the defense to decline most five-yard penalties?

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20 Oct 2004, 06:08pm by Aaron Schatz

Week 6 DVOA Ratings

Here are the Football Outsiders team efficiency ratings after Week 6, along with Aaron's usual commentary for the math-o-phobic. Think you know which team holds the title "best team with a losing record"? You may be surprised. Plus, our first look this year at the Football Outsiders offensive and defensive line statistics. Who's responsible for New England's decline against the run? Does Indianapolis have the most underrated offensive line in football?

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1 comment, Last at 18 Oct 2005, 10:39pm by Shred Nard

15 Oct 2004, 12:59am by Aaron Schatz

Koyaanisqatsi, or Life Out of Balance

It feels like more than ever the NFL is split between teams that can score at will but can't stop anyone, and teams that can play defense but can't score themselves. Are there really that many more unbalanced teams this season than in years past? It depends how you look at it according to Aaron in this article reprinted from Tuesday's edition of the New York Sun. Possibly the first article about the NFL ever inspired by a Philip Glass composition.

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12 Oct 2004, 01:27pm by Aaron Schatz

Week 5 DVOA Ratings

Here are the Football Outsiders team efficiency ratings after Week 5, along with Aaron's usual commentary for the math-o-phobic. This week brings us the first adjustments for opponent, and those adjustments separate the top four teams in the league. Philadelphia has played a difficult schedule, New England an average schedule, and Seattle and the Jets easy schedules. Plus more on which teams look better or worse than the stats indicate so far, and TV announcers who can't tell a quarterback from an offensive tackle.

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11 Oct 2004, 12:43am by Aaron Schatz

DVOA vs. Yards Per Point

One of the more popular statistics for rating the best NFL teams, particularly with gambling touts, is yards per point. It's come up on this site recently, particularly regarding the 2001 Patriots. Does it really recognize an offense's ability to efficiently turn drives into touchdowns, or a defense's ability to "bend but not break" by keeping points allowed down even if the other team drives down the field? How does it compare to DVOA, the play-by-play breakdown rating we use here at Football Outsiders?

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