Writers of Pro Football Prospectus 2008

14 Oct 2003, 11:37am by Aaron Schatz

The Jets, Continued

OK, so how the heck are the Jets ranked so dang high this week? Aaron searches for an explanation and finds out why the Jets are the Miami Heat of football.

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07 Oct 2003, 12:01pm by Aaron Schatz

Week 5 Team Efficiency Ratings

Week 5 team efficiency ratings are here, with a new top team: Minnesota. In this week's commentary, Aaron counters the conventional wisdom that Dallas has the league's top offense, explains why Carolina still isn't that good, questions the double-digit Tennessee line over Houston, and has some very bad news for Oakland fans. Plus, our first official rankings including adjustments for opponent quality, and strength of schedule numbers.

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30 Sep 2003, 09:44am by Aaron Schatz

Week 4 Team Efficiency Ratings

With the top two teams on bye, no movement on top of the chart, but there's plenty below. Carolina's performance begins to match their record, and so does Jacksonville's. And it's a happy day in St. Louis when Arizona comes to town. Aaron explains it all for the math-phobic, and gives a list of this year's top five QB games so far. Payton vs. New Orleans isn't number one?

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23 Sep 2003, 03:27am by Aaron Schatz

Week 3 Team Efficiency Ratings

Tampa Bay narrowly edges out Seattle for #1 as Aaron introduces a slightly reworked and more accurate VOA formula. Plus, what's the deal with Jacksonville?

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16 Sep 2003, 01:33pm by Aaron Schatz

Week 2 Team Efficiency Ratings

Seattle is #1. Now with expanded commentary featuring actual sentences for those who are allergic to numbers. Aaron explains why Jacksonville and New England are mirror images, why Carolina is the worst 2-0 team in the NFL, and why Moe Williams and Onterrio Smith may have had a more valuable rushing day than Jamal Lewis.

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10 Sep 2003, 04:19am by Aaron Schatz

In Focus: NFC North

The final division in our eight-part series analyzing our new stats. Moe Williams' consistency, Kabeer Gbaja-Biamila's weakness, and more...

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10 Sep 2003, 04:18am by Aaron Schatz

In Focus: AFC North

Continuing our division-by-division look at our new stats. The NFL says the Cincinnati Bengals ranked #17 in defense; we say they ranked #31. The difference demonstrates how our stats seek to remove situational bias. Plus: Tommy Maddox, fluke or not? We look at past players who have come back after long periods away from the NFL.

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26 Aug 2003, 10:22am by Aaron Schatz

In Focus: AFC South

Continuing our division-by-division look at our new stats. Does Eddie George really get the tough yards when it counts? Why should teams save their best defensive plays to show Payton Manning after halftime?

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25 Aug 2003, 12:15pm by Aaron Schatz

In Focus: NFC West

All four NFC West teams have the same problem, one they share with a lot of other teams. Why do so many offenses rush more in one direction even though they gain far more yards per carry in the other direction? Do coaches just have no idea about team strengths? Plus, more notes on what our new stats say about the Cards, Rams, Niners, and Seahawks.

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25 Aug 2003, 04:48am by Aaron Schatz

In Focus: NFC South

Continuing our division-by-division look at our new stats. How screwed are the Falcons by Michael Vick's injury? How amazing is the Bucs defense, and what is their secret weakness?

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