17 Sep 2004
Our friend William Krasker begins his regular weekly analysis of NFL strategy using his complicated Dynamic Programming Model. Among Bill's contentions: Steve Mariucci screwed up by not going for two when Detroit went ahead 19-14, the Dolphins punted three times on 4th-and-1 when they should have gone for it, and Joe Gibbs should have gone for a touchdown from the Tampa 2-yard line at the start of the second quarter. Go give Bill's site some love, his stuff is excellent.
A look at fourth-down decision making in 2014 highlights Sean Payton, Marc Trestman, and... wait, this can't be right... Jim Caldwell? Plus: Chip Kelly may be less aggressive than you think he is.