30 Oct 2004
SI.com's Don Banks runs down his list of the ten biggest surprises of the 2004 NFL season. Two of them aren't a surprise if you read Football Outsiders last year and during the offseason: Minnesota has a great offensive line, and the AFC is better than the NFC. His #1 surprise is Curtis Martin's career year -- seriously, how often does a running back have a career year at age 31? Of the surprises Banks picks, the one that totally has me stumped is the disintegration of the Dallas defense. They are getting sliced and diced like Tuna sashimi.
Thanks a lot, Dak Prescott. Now more people will think the fourth round is still a gold mine for quarterbacks, but the data says otherwise. The update to our quarterback draft study for 1994-2016 shows little has changed: finding a good QB is really hard.