27 Jan 2005
Is Peyton a choker because he can't win the big game? Doug Drinen (of Pro-Football-Reference.com, and this week writing some football-related content at Sabernomics ) doesn't think so and he's got the model to support it. I'll leave the stats to him, but here's the bottom line: the Colts' postseason record in the Manning era is exactly what one would expect. And just to stoke the flames in the Manning vs. Brady debate, here's how Drinen ended his post:
"I hate to admit it, but the deification of Tom Brady is getting tougher and tougher to argue with. This metric overvalues him just a tad by giving him credit for the 2001 victory at Pittsburgh (Bledsoe was probably more responsible for that win), but still. The probability of going 8-for-8 in the specific collection of postseason games Brady has played in is .004."
Commence deification. By the way, the direct link did not work, so just go to the page and scroll down.
1 comment, Last at 13 Mar 2007, 1:10pm by Home Equity Line Of Credit
"Last team with the ball wins" is a cliche, but sometimes cliches are the best way to get across the central narrative of an important game. If you like great quarterback play, you have to watch the NFC Championship Game.