21 Mar 2005
So is it the system or is it the player? Well, if you're talking about Cal head coach Jeff Tedford, a lot of people might tell you it's the former. Akili Smith started 17 games in his career and won three of them; Joey Harrington has struggled at times in Detroit and is perpetually in danger of losing his job; Kyle Boller had a QB-rating of 126.8 in college and has only managed a rating of 68.1 in the NFL. But Tedford has had some success too: Trent Dilfer has had a respectable career (including a Super Bowl), and David Carr has improved in each of his first three seasons in the league.
So all else being equal, is Alex Smith now the #1 QB simply because Aaron Rodgers is a Tedford guy?
Thanks a lot, Dak Prescott. Now more people will think the fourth round is still a gold mine for quarterbacks, but the data says otherwise. The update to our quarterback draft study for 1994-2016 shows little has changed: finding a good QB is really hard.