Writers of Pro Football Prospectus 2008

31 Dec 2006

Overheard at FO on New Years Eve

There are people out there who suggested that Tiki Barber wasn't trying his hardest in the past few weeks because he plans to retire. I hope they felt like idiots Saturday night.

Vince Young just threw a crazy no-look hook shot to the end zone. Randy Cross can't stop fawning over it. "This is why this city is so excited about this guy." If Eli Manning had thrown that pass, people would have been all over him for making a stupid, risky decision. It just goes to show that 'heroic' moves are driven by incoming expectations.

Are the Cowboys under the impression that this game is a 4 p.m. kickoff or something? They're playing like absolute crap.

At -34.4%, the 2006 Oakland Raiders would seem to have an outside shot at the Negative Offensive DVOA record, set by the 2005 San Francisco 49ers (-39.8%). Now THAT's something you want on your resume: "Coordinated record-breaking offense, according to Football Outsiders."

In the third quarter, David Garrard threw a little line-of-scrimmage screen to Ty Law. I’m sure there was a back in a Jaguars uniform behind him, but Garrard threw the ball right to Law. Looked right at him, and threw it anyway. Not surprisingly, Quinn Gray is now in at quarterback. We'll see if Gray can just win ballgames.

I predict the Bengals draft a special teams-specific player on Day 1 of the NFL Draft.

And with 2:33 left in the fourth quarter, Larry Johnson carried the ball for the 411th time this season, breaking Jamal Anderson's 1998 record for carries in a season. In 1999, Anderson ran 19 times for 59 yards and went down in the second game of the season with a knee injury. He was out of the league two years later. As we've said before at Football Ousiders, this would almost be excusable on Herm Edwards' part if a) he wasn't so stubborn and defiant about Johnson's carries; and b) he didn't run Curtin Martin out of the league two years ago.

Everytime I switched over to the Cowboys, they were playing an interesting new zone coverage called "Cover-Nobody."

The Seahawks avoided the indignity of an 8-8 record, though they’re still one of the least impressive teams ever to win a division.

I'm glad the Lions won't have the top pick. They'd just blow it.

Let me also just say J-E-T-S! One! And! Done! This is not a playoff team, but I'll ride the happiness anyway. Plus it gives the young 'uns some playoff experience.

I believe that Tony Romo has the potential to be a very good starting quarterback. Heck, I don't mind the Pro Bowl selection, because there weren't a lot of options (remember that Jeff Garcia had some of his best games after voting was closed). But when things go too well too early for a quarterback, he can pick up some awful habits. For example, not gripping the ball tightly, and not protecting it in traffic, and waiting forever for a magic play to develop when you could just dump it to Marion Barber and gain five yards.

And Denver officially craps the bed. Which means: 1) Another week of Mangini-Belichick stories. Kill me now. 2) Indianapolis is freaking out at the prospect of playing Larry Johnson. 3) Another 30 and maybe 60 carries for Larry Johnson, which means he is super duper Oompa Loompa Dupity Screwed.

All. A. J. Feeley. Does. Is. Win.

Happy New Year from the gang. See you in 2007!

Posted by: Mike Tanier on 31 Dec 2006

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