Writers of Pro Football Prospectus 2008

18 Apr 2008

Urlacher Threatens Holdout, Retirement

Well, now it's not just Jared Allen of the Chiefs as the only elite defender unhappy with his current digs. Bears middle linebacker Brian Urlacher has alternately a.) had his agents ask the team to explore trade possibilities; b.) threatened to retire because of ongoing neck and back problems; and c.) threatened to hold out all the way through training camp if he doesn't retire. The sticking point is a new contract -- duh! -- which Urlacher would appreciate after watching teammate Lance Briggs get $36 million over six years. Urlacher's nine-year, $56.65 million deal, which included a $13 million signing bonus, was a big deal when the salary cap was set at $75 million. Five years later, and with players like Briggs and Seattle's Lofa Tatupu getting major dollars, Urlacher feels it's time for another re-negotiation.

The facts that the Briggs deal is set up for the Bears to get out of after two years without considerable financial difficulty (his roster bonus doesn't hit until 2010); and that four Seahawks teammates re-structured their contracts so that Tatupu could take a below-market deal, seem to have eluded Urlacher. Bringing up his medical history, and threatening retirement, may not be the best way to go.

The real question is what Allen's and Urlacher's gambits do to the draft order. Most mocks have the Bears taking Illinois running back Rashard Mendenhall at 16, a move that certainly makes sense, but what if Allen's desire to leave has the Chiefs looking at Ohio State end Vernon Gholston with the fifth overall pick, right before the Jets and Pats?

Posted by: Doug Farrar on 18 Apr 2008

25 comments, Last at 21 Apr 2008, 9:10am by Mr Shush

Comments

1
by Mr Shush (not verified) :: Fri, 04/18/2008 - 10:48am

Was Tatupu's deal really significantly below market? I don't think Urlacher has a lot of leverage here, but I'm not sure Tatupu is really relevant. If anything, given age and injury history, I'd say Urlacher's probably worth less than Tatupu at this point.

2
by Charles Jake (not verified) :: Fri, 04/18/2008 - 10:50am

Urlacher and/or his agent are idiots. "Pay me more money or else I'll retire cuz my neck and my back hurt!" Why would they think that'll get more money out of the notoriously cheap Bears?

If I were Angelo, befor all this, I might've considered an extension as a lifetime acheivement award after Hester and Tommie Harris are taken care of.

Now? I wonder would Cincy take him for Chad.

3
by Charger Jeff (not verified) :: Fri, 04/18/2008 - 10:52am

My initial reaction to this story was to think of LaDainian Tomlinson. He signed his monster deal prior to the 2004 season, if memory serves, and the market has changed significantly since then. If he weren't a team player and/or were more greedy, he could easily hold out for more money and probably sign for twice what he did just 4 years ago. I don't know, it's just a reflection on the person's character to me - how many millions are enough millions for you and subsequent generations to be happy and secure? How much money does one need to make them have the passion to pursue a championship with and for their team and their adopted city?

4
by dan (not verified) :: Fri, 04/18/2008 - 11:09am

#3: The same number of millions it takes to ignore the immediate risks of paralysis and frankly sickening longterm increases in brain damage and heart failure.

I think it's silly when people say they'd play football for the minimum so why don't the athletes? Frankly, you couldn't pay me enough.

5
by Eli (not verified) :: Fri, 04/18/2008 - 11:21am

Urlacher's a fool for torching his relationship with Chicago fans. Chicago goes crazy for the players they love -- The 85 Bears are still cashing in and will continue to do so until they die. Now Urlacher will be written off just like Sammy Sosa was.

6
by Charger Jeff (not verified) :: Fri, 04/18/2008 - 11:31am

#4 nobody said anything about playing for the minimum. We're talking about the difference between having 40m and 45m in the bank. Yeah, I'd like to have 5m extra to play with, but I make 38k per year. That would be the equivalent of a 5,000 raise for me. Now for me, in my situation, I take that money. For Urlacher, with all the ancillary affects (i.e. post #5, not having leverage, etc) of trying to force the Bears to increase his salary by about 10% seems foolhardy. He's already got more than enough money to pay for his medical bills.

7
by Charger Jeff (not verified) :: Fri, 04/18/2008 - 11:33am

To follow up - there's a difference between Urlacher and Allen because Allen is only guaranteed this year's salary under the franchise tag, where Urlacher has multiple years guaranteed and already earned a sizeable signing bonus.

8
by brasilbear (not verified) :: Fri, 04/18/2008 - 11:44am

Bears linebacker Brian Urlacher disputed a report that he threatened to retire if the Bears don't reward him with more guaranteed money.

``I never said that I was going to quit,'' Urlacher told the Tribune early Friday morning. ``That's just a gossip column. Reports like that is why I choose not to speak to the media.''

link in my name

9
by Joey Jo-Jo Junior Shabbadu (not verified) :: Fri, 04/18/2008 - 11:59am

Arguing in the alternative doesn't work well in contract negotiations.

10
by the original sam (formerly sam!) (not verified) :: Fri, 04/18/2008 - 12:19pm

I think it's the other way around. The media gossip because you won't tell them anything.

Though, maybe it wouldn't matter. But *NOT* speaking to the media is not going to stop the rumor-mill.

11
by Pete (not verified) :: Fri, 04/18/2008 - 1:14pm

Personally, I think it is more an issue with ego than it is with money.

12
by Tom D (not verified) :: Fri, 04/18/2008 - 1:15pm

Re 5:

There is a good chance that we all forget about this is in a few years. Depending on how the negotiations go. Remember Ditka forced a trade since he was unhappy with his contract, and that didn't really hurt his popularity.

13
by Aaron (not verified) :: Fri, 04/18/2008 - 2:43pm

@4: I'd play football for the minimum because I'd be so bad, they'd be better off playing a man down than letting me on the field. No risk of injury, significant pay raise!

14
by C (not verified) :: Fri, 04/18/2008 - 3:15pm

He needs more money for child support.

15
by CNB (not verified) :: Fri, 04/18/2008 - 3:49pm

Has Al Davis offered the #4 pick to Chicago and $48M/6yrs to Urlacher yet?

(I'm joking, of course. But as a Raider fan, sadly, I can't say I'd be surprised if Davis tried this.)

16
by Eddo (not verified) :: Fri, 04/18/2008 - 3:58pm

12: Ditka's (only partially deserved) god-like reputation in Chicago is because he was the head coach of the Super Bowl winning team in 1985. Bart Starr could have coached that team and he'd have been deified as well.

17
by Dave (not verified) :: Fri, 04/18/2008 - 4:48pm

I'd love to see the "Tatupu is undermarket" argument fleshed out, because like several other of the commenters in the Tatupu deal extra point I don't buy it.

18
by marcusjm (not verified) :: Fri, 04/18/2008 - 6:03pm

I really hope not too many Chicago fans take that Sun-Times article too seriously. I read it this morning and thought it read like just a lot of rumor-mongering. In case people missed brasilbear's comment (#8), the article he linked to quotes Urlacher flat-out denying that he has threatened to quit or that he's at all interested in being traded.

19
by John Doe (not verified) :: Fri, 04/18/2008 - 9:57pm

10: The media asks stupid questions, and the players are so worried about saying something controversial that turns into a circus that they repeat the same platitudes over and over again to be safe.

Televised sports interviews are rarely interesting. How often is there an intelligent and well thought out question that receives an intelligent and well thought out response?

20
by Jason (not verified) :: Sat, 04/19/2008 - 12:50am

I agree it is more about respect and pride than having more money. Even if I was making alot I'd be ticked off if someone with less ability/performance than me was being more highly compensated than I was, especially if they were on my own team.

21
by dbt (Bears fan) (not verified) :: Sat, 04/19/2008 - 12:58am

Mulligan's generally pretty solid but the sourcing on this is really thin. It sounds like his agents are just being stupid.

22
by Marko (not verified) :: Sat, 04/19/2008 - 2:35am

"Most mocks have the Bears taking Illinois running back Rashard Mendenhall at 16, a move that certainly makes sense"

I'm surprised no one has pointed out the two mistakes in the above. First, the Bears' first round pick is #14, not #16. Second, most mocks (at least those by people who have some knowledge of the Bears and their needs) have the Bears picking an offensive tackle (likely Chris Williams or Jeff Otah) with their first pick. As long as Williams or Otah are available (or if somehow Jake Long, Ryan Clady and/or Branden Albert slide and are still on the board at 14), I would be shocked if the Bears don't take one of those OTs. I think that they would then take a running back in the second or third round. If all of those top tackle prospects are gone, then maybe they would take Mendenhall at 14 if he's still on the board.

23
by bengt (not verified) :: Mon, 04/21/2008 - 3:00am

#13: I had the same idea, but I'm not so sure I would survive the first practice session!

24
by TomHat (not verified) :: Mon, 04/21/2008 - 7:54am

stupid bears should pay urlacher more money because he is the only reason to even bother showing up to a bears game. I guess thats one more reason than the number of reasons I have to watch the orioles :/

25
by Mr Shush (not verified) :: Mon, 04/21/2008 - 9:10am

I guess we'll get some kind of yardstick for the Tatupu deal next summer when the Texans extend Ryans. To my mind, they're extremely similar players - very, very good but not quite dominant undersized middle linebackers with excellent range and coverage skills, who took ownership of their respective defenses very early in their tenures. Both will have been extended entering their fourth season after being drafted in the second round. Both were DROY in their first year and pro-bowlers in their second. Ryans was also a second team all-pro last year, while Tatupu missed the all-pro lineup as a sophomore but was first team in 2007. If Tatupu's deal was roughly on-market, Ryans should get roughly the same deal once adjusted for the rise in the cap. If not, Ryans will likely receive a deal that is larger even after factoring that in.

I really have no idea what Urlacher is playing at. The Bears simply have no reason to cave. Their offense is now such a disaster area that not even a historically great defense would make them a contender, and it's likely that that unit will in fact be merely very good and not historically great in any case. They can let him kick his heels for as long as he likes.

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