13 Oct 2010
Unfortunately, he's drawn the Pittsburgh Steelers. On the road.
The Steelers currently have the league's second-best defense. Against the pass, they rank fourth in the league, with a -17.2% DVOA.
How have rookie quarterbacks fared on the road against such strong defenses? Well, I never thought you'd ask! Since 1993, 41 quarterbacks have gone on the road to play a pass defense with a DVOA of -15% or lower.
Those quarterbacks' average line: 14-of-29 (49.2 percent) for 160 yards, with 0.7 touchdowns, 1.4 interceptions, and 2.7 sacks. Their teams went a collective 7-35, and in the seven wins, their defenses allowed an average of just 14.3 points per game.
As for a quarterback making his career debut on the road against such a tough defense? There's only one example of a rookie doing that: Drew Bledsoe, whose first NFL start came against the Buffalo Bills in 1993. Bledsoe went 14-of-30 for 148 yards, but he did have two touchdowns against just one pick.
We wish young Mr. McCoy the best of luck.
28 comments, Last at 15 Oct 2010, 7:36am by Mr Shush
Even in what looks like an historically great class of running back prospects, LSU's Leonard Fournette comes out on top. The depth of quality options, though, makes it clear: 2017 is a great year to draft a runner.