08 Oct 2010
I'm sure there were more than a few people out there waiting for Bill Simmons to give his take on the Randy Moss trade, and it's a good one. Simmons is right: What made Moss special was just how much fun he made it to be a Patriots fan over the last three and a half years. That was the biggest takeaway, more than all the wins in 2007, more than making Matt Cassel look good in 2008, more than the worries about whether Wes Welker and Aaron Hernandez will be less open now. For the record, I've spoken to a few people behind the scenes and while I can't give specifics, believe me that everything you've heard about Moss arguing with coaches this season is about half as bad as it actually was. From a stat analyst perspective, the trade makes no sense, but from a team psychology perspective, it had to happen.
(If anyone is upset that I can't divulge details, I'll remind you that I don't befriend people in the league so that I can report rumors. I befriend people in the league so that they will suggest improvements in the stats, or teach me what the safeties do to key that they're playing in Cover-2 or Cover-3, and other things that will allow FO to give you better overall analysis.)
84 comments, Last at 13 Oct 2010, 10:43am by Mr Shush
In this week's Varsity Numbers, Bill Connelly revisits some measures and concepts: Adjusted Scores, Covariance, and momentum (or whatever you choose to call it).