Writers of Pro Football Prospectus 2008

30 Sep 2010

SITE NEWS: KUBIAK Update Posted

Well, after much work the KUBIAK midseason update has been posted on the site. If you purchased KUBIAK in the preseason, just go to the MY FO DOWNLOADS button on the left side to re-download the workbook. This is updated based on the performance of teams and usage patterns for players so far this year. Projections represent performance for the rest of the year, the last 13 games, except for some players where it is fewer games (12 for Roethlisberger, as an example).

Note: Be aware that the midseason update doesn't quite get the full workup that the regular KUBIAK does, i.e. I don't have as much time to make sure team totals come close to being equal.

Posted by: Aaron Schatz on 30 Sep 2010

11 comments, Last at 05 Oct 2010, 2:24am by Mike Elseroad

Comments

1
by Yaguar :: Thu, 09/30/2010 - 8:24pm

KUBIAK has Philip Rivers hitting 5228 yards passing this year. Isn't that... a bit much?

3
by Treima6 (not verified) :: Thu, 09/30/2010 - 10:53pm

5,200+ yards? Really? That's insane, but he's got 1,000 through three games, so who knows? It's not like the AFC/NFC West are full of elite pass defenses.

4
by tally :: Thu, 09/30/2010 - 11:18pm

I wonder if his projection is for 16 games, not 13. No one is within 300 yards or so of him.

If SD's kick and punt coverage continue to be so bad, though, I can see several extra possessions piling up for Rivers to get that many yards.

2
by Carlos :: Thu, 09/30/2010 - 8:37pm

Interesting... surprising... and odd in places.

Two projections I question right out of the gate: Collie and Nicks as below baseline for the last 13 games and combined will have the same value as Mike Sims-Walker and Mike Williams (NW version).

8
by hans :: Fri, 10/01/2010 - 9:48pm

Re-run the rankings without "risk" turned on. Nicks' is a bit better ranked if you feel that the "red" is too harsh. I think the system might be missing some things with him and seeing some other things that most of us aren't. He definitely has upside.

5
by Zheng :: Fri, 10/01/2010 - 5:48am

Also big jumps for McCoy, RunDMC, and of course Vick. Big drops for Mathews (?) and Jennings...why?

6
by jbrenner :: Fri, 10/01/2010 - 10:10am

Kick and punt return points for skilled players seems to not be working.

7
by bird jam :: Fri, 10/01/2010 - 10:21am

On the instructions page, it says that special teams projections for individual players are not included in the mid-season update.

9
by bigdumbjay :: Sat, 10/02/2010 - 10:10am

Anyone else having problems with IDP in general? Two different/leagues/"KUBIAK settings.xls files" and none of the IDP players are showing up, and several entries are coming up with players named "Dummy".

10
by tally :: Sat, 10/02/2010 - 6:16pm

Instructions page specifies no ST or IDP in update.

11
by Mike Elseroad (not verified) :: Tue, 10/05/2010 - 2:24am

Where is the "My FO Downloads" button? I purchased KUBIAK 2010 and I would like to access the week 4 updates.