Writers of Pro Football Prospectus 2008

15 Jul 2011

People Familiar With Talks: NFL Tentative Agreement In Principle Could Come Within 24 Hours

Possibly, maybe. We may want to hedge that title a little more.

Other links of interest as the lockout supposedly enters it's death knells:
-Our own Doug Farrar checks in on what the new salary cap is, and what that may mean for certain franchises that will now have to start spending.
-Sports Business Journal's Daniel Kaplan with a look at the lack of revenue sharing solutions in the deal and how that may grow animosity between big-market and small-market clubs.

Posted by: Rivers McCown on 15 Jul 2011

15 comments, Last at 23 Jul 2011, 3:37pm by Bobo

Comments

1
by MJK :: Fri, 07/15/2011 - 11:55am

It seems like the players are willing to take a decreased share of revenue in exchange for a pure split rather than a set of pre-determined caps...so they're banking on the league's profitability continuing to grow.

It also sounds like the penny pinchers like Richardson and Wilson are going to hate this deal...

4
by Dean :: Fri, 07/15/2011 - 1:45pm

If both sides walk away feeling a little bit disapointed, then that's a good sign. If the rhetoric is any judge, Smith will claim victory, Goodell will blather empty platitudes about how it was a long and sometimes difficult process but with the spirit of cooperation we were able to blah blah blah.

We'll really know in a year or two. If one side is howling next offseason, that's bad. That'll probably mean we'll be back here again in a few years.

5
by Aaron Brooks' Good Twin (not verified) :: Fri, 07/15/2011 - 1:48pm

They've hated every deal since 1865.

6
by IAmJoe (not verified) :: Fri, 07/15/2011 - 2:06pm

10/10 would laugh again

best line I've read in a long time

7
by Drunkmonkey :: Fri, 07/15/2011 - 2:19pm

Why isn't the original revenue sharing system still in play? I thought that was liked by all, and didn't even know it was up for negotiation.

9
by tuluse :: Fri, 07/15/2011 - 4:36pm

Where did you read that it wasn't?

It sounds to me like they are just undoing the "extra" revenue sharing created in the 2006 CBA.

2
by justanothersteve :: Fri, 07/15/2011 - 12:39pm

Our long national nightmare may soon be over.

3
by speedegg :: Fri, 07/15/2011 - 1:20pm

WOOOO-HOOOOOO!!!!!!!!

8
by aRX (not verified) :: Fri, 07/15/2011 - 2:42pm

Not that you guys are to blame for simply reporting what's out there, but I'll believe a deal is "close" when it's done. I've been hearing chatter about deals being "close", "imminent", "could happen by the end of the week" etc. for a month.

If it's true, though, yay :)

14
by Scott C :: Sat, 07/16/2011 - 5:52pm

It'll happen by the end of the decade.

Bank on it.

10
by Raiderjoe :: Fri, 07/15/2011 - 5:47pm

gonna have some Tommykocker Buttheads tnight. Going to be gerat . The offiical start of the 2011 Raiders Super bowl champisobnship going to get udnerway soon

11
by fooBarFooFoo (not verified) :: Fri, 07/15/2011 - 6:03pm

I read both articles and still ask myself the same question I have been asking for the past 12 months ...

Will the owners really spend less money than they did under the rules of the last CBA? Based on the numbers in the articles and on some common sense on how such negotiations work, I highly doubt that. It's a little different method of ending up with numbers in the same ballpark. Do they get more security? It looks like the players closed some loopholes used by owners to save money (salary floor, LTBE incentives ...), and the owners put some new loopholes in.

And based on such an assumption, the apparently two owners who opposed opting out of the 2006 CBA were probably right (I know the vote was unanimous, but apparently two owners opposed it before).

Six months wasted?

12
by Mr Shush :: Fri, 07/15/2011 - 8:52pm

To me this rumoured deal seems to be better for high revenue owners (lower cap), worse for small revenue owners (higher floor), better for more incompetent front offices (rookie wage scale), worse for good front offices (shorter rookie contracts) and better for parity (all of the above).

13
by Whatev :: Sat, 07/16/2011 - 8:04am

Also, better for good rookies and worse for incompetent ones, though they don't get a say, as I understand it.

15
by Bobo (not verified) :: Sat, 07/23/2011 - 3:37pm

What revenue figure is the 46.5 to 48% coming from? $141M x 32 is just over $4.5B, well under the usual figures reported for NFL revenue.