12 Jul 2012
|Easiest Projected Schedule in Football Outsiders Books, 2005-2012|
|Pro Football Prospectus 2005||Bears||5-11||11-5|
|Pro Football Prospectus 2006||Bears||11-5||13-3|
|Pro Football Prospectus 2007||49ers||7-9||5-11|
|Pro Football Prospectus 2008||Patriots||16-0||11-5|
|Football Outsiders Almanac 2009||Patriots||11-5||10-6|
|Football Outsiders Almanac 2010||Chiefs||4-12||10-6|
|Football Outsiders Almanac 2011||49ers||6-10||13-3|
|Football Outsiders Almanac 2012||Bears||8-8||???|
No guarantee, Bears fans, but I'm just sayin'.
That effect would be even stronger if you didn't have a 16-0 team that lost the league MVP to injury in Week 1.
This other one is not quite as strong, especially because of the 2008 Steelers, and of course because of Peyton Manning.
|Toughest Projected Schedule in Football Outsiders Books, 2005-2012|
|Pro Football Prospectus 2005||Chargers||12-4||9-7|
|Pro Football Prospectus 2006||Broncos||13-3||9-7|
|Pro Football Prospectus 2007||Bills||7-9||7-9|
|Pro Football Prospectus 2008||Steelers||10-6||12-4|
|Football Outsiders Almanac 2009||Broncos||8-8||8-8|
|Football Outsiders Almanac 2010||Bengals||10-6||4-12|
|Football Outsiders Almanac 2011||Chiefs||10-6||7-9|
|Football Outsiders Almanac 2012||Broncos||8-8||???|
How odd is it that the Bears have been on the "easiest projected schedule" list three times, and the Broncos have been on the "hardest projected schedule" list three times?
29 comments, Last at 16 Jul 2012, 7:56pm by BroncosGuyAgain
Thanks a lot, Dak Prescott. Now more people will think the fourth round is still a gold mine for quarterbacks, but the data says otherwise. The update to our quarterback draft study for 1994-2016 shows little has changed: finding a good QB is really hard.