Writers of Pro Football Prospectus 2008

03 Dec 2004, 11:30am by admin

FO at TNR: Blown Call

By focusing on Ty Willingham's dismissal, critics are distracting attention from the real racial scandal in college football -- which takes place not when coaches are fired, but rather when they are hired in the first place. Russell Levine and Aaron Schatz co-wrote this latest Football Outsiders contribution to America's best political journal, The New Republic. Thanks to TNR for the subcription-free link for FO readers.

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30 Nov 2004, 11:36pm by Aaron Schatz

Football Commentary: Week 12 Strategy Review

The latest strategy review from our friend William Krasker looks at Mike Martz's fake field goal, Arizona kicking a 21-yard FG at the end of the first half, and Dat Nguyen not being an idiot. Two notes: First, William is working on another summary article for us that revisits strategy decisions from Weeks 7-12, so if you want him to further analyze a specific decision please mention it in the comments here. Second, if you feel like these articles have become overwhelmed by coaches making stupid decisions not to go for it on fourth down, you aren't alone.

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30 Nov 2004, 04:34pm by Aaron Schatz

TMQ: Secrets of the Abandoned Quarry Offense

That's Gregg Easterbrook's nickname for the Colts, for extremely confusing reasons. He also calls for moratorium on praising Brett Favre. Preach on, brother Easterbrook! Does anyone who does not work for a major network disagree with that idea?

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30 Nov 2004, 04:14pm by Al Bogdan

Willingham Won't Be Back at Notre Dame

Ty Willingham is out in South Bend. I'm kind of surprised by this one. Notre Dame hasn't been that good the past two years, but I thought they'd at least let Ty finish out his contract. AFAIK, Notre Dame has a history of not firing coaches during their initial coaching contracts. I wonder what would make Willingham so different from all of the Notre Dame coaches that have come before him ...

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29 Nov 2004, 02:40pm by Aaron Schatz

Snap Judgment: Perpetual Brett

This week's Snap Judgment looks at Brett Favre's consecutive games streak, the worst quarterback of the year, and the Cleveland-Cincinnati silliness. Of more interest to FO readers are my QB ratings, which starts with an extended commentary on Peyton Manning in which I actually run the numbers to find out if Manning is padding his stats or not. Manning haters and Manning lovers will both want a look.

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29 Nov 2004, 02:11pm by Aaron Schatz

MMQB: Unbridled

Peter King thinks we were all too quick to write off the Indianapolis defense (and, to a lesser extent, the Minnesota defense). Yes, they have looked better over the last two weeks -- against Craig Krenzel, Joey Harrington, and Mike McMahon. As Pulp Fiction's The Wolf might say, let's not go pleasuring our respective Cheneys just yet.

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2 comments, Last at 05 Jan 2007, 2:48pm by amputation

24 Nov 2004, 06:34pm by Aaron Schatz

Football Commentary: Week 11 Strategy Review

The latest strategic analysis from our friend William Krasker looks at Mike Tice's decision to go for two with the score 19-13 and further discusses his theory on intentionally committing a penalty in the final two minutes. There's also the usual slate of fourth down choices, and although I'm usually in agreement with William that going for it is better, I disagree with the first situation here: Green Bay kicking a field goal on 4th-and-1 from the Houston 21-yard line. Yes, using generic NFL numbers the probability of a win if greater if you take the risk of going for it.

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24 Nov 2004, 12:42pm by Aaron Schatz

Football's Overtime Bias

Yay, more discussion of overtime! We can never get enough of this stuff. This article from Science News says that the coin flip didn't really determine the winner in overtime until they moved kickoffs back to the 30-yard line in 1994. Since then, the team that wins the flip has won more often in overtime. Of course, we have our own idea about how to solve this.

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2 comments, Last at 06 Feb 2007, 8:21am by phenteramine

23 Nov 2004, 02:44pm by Aaron Schatz

TMQ: Happy Throwback Thanksgiving

Our man TMQ is back with his usual collection of Sweet Plays, Sour Plays, great blocks, and cheerleader photos. He also discusses Throwback Thanksgiving, satellite radio, the Grey Cup, and Aaron Brooks' continued loss of sanity when it comes to certain pass plays.

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23 Nov 2004, 12:18pm by P. Ryan Wilson

Draft Dreaming

Instead of doing a midseason review like most other media outlets, Don Banks revisits the 2004 draft. But this time, teams are drafting players based on their first half performances. It's no surprise that Ben Roethlisberger is the first pick, but even in hindsight, there are some questionable selections (Matt Schaub to the Bears?). Still, it's a good way to torment yourself by playing the "what if" game.

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