Writers of Pro Football Prospectus 2008

12 Aug 2012

FOA 2012 MEDIA: SB Nation

As we've done the last couple of years, we asked the folks at SB Nation to send some team-focused questions our way for each of their individual team blogs. The link above is to Niners Nation's interview with Danny Tuccitto, and we'll be adding more links to this post as they go up.

Thursday 8/2
Niners Nation: Danny Tuccitto

Friday 8/3
Hogs Haven: Aaron Schatz
Buffalo Rumblings: Sean McCormick (2) (3)
Revenge of the Birds: Brian McIntyre

Sunday 8/5
Blogging the Boys: Vince Verhei (2)

Monday 8/6
Baltimore Beatdown: Danny Tuccitto

Thursday 8/9
Daily Norseman: Andy Benoit

Friday 8/10
Dawgs by Nature: Robert Weintraub

Sunday 8/12
Behind the Steel Curtain: Danny Tuccitto

Posted by: Rivers McCown on 12 Aug 2012

10 comments, Last at 07 Aug 2012, 2:06pm by jimbohead

Comments

1
by Karl Cuba :: Fri, 08/03/2012 - 8:41am

The tone of some of the comments on that thread is basically one of the reasons that I just can't deal with Niners Nation anymore. I even ran into that first troll once too.

2
by Matt Bowyer :: Fri, 08/03/2012 - 9:28am

There are only two sites where I read the comments: Rock Paper Shotgun and Football Outsiders. Everywhere else can go hang.

8
by JimZipCode :: Tue, 08/07/2012 - 12:11am

The comments on the Onion AV Club are uniformly awesome.

Not much football content, though.

9
by JasonK :: Tue, 08/07/2012 - 12:41pm

I am so internet-high-fiving you right now.

3
by Danny Tuccitto :: Fri, 08/03/2012 - 3:15pm

To be fair to NN, we have to consider that (a) anyone who joins a team site can be considered a rabid fan, (b) we're basically telling them that their team is going to take a colossal dump this year even though there's really nothing obvious in terms of non-stats that would suggest so, and (c) this comes on the heels of SF finally emerging from a decade-long horror show.

I mean, in that context, can you blame some of the people in the thread for being, shall we say, less than receptive? It's like we've insulted their mother, killed the family pet, etc.

4
by theshadowj :: Fri, 08/03/2012 - 4:13pm

Actually, given all the context you described I actually thought the comments were quite civil. Even the somewhat minor regression projected for the Texans in FOA were met with a much worse response on the Texans' equivalent SB nation blog.

5
by chemical burn :: Fri, 08/03/2012 - 5:31pm

Yeah, I expected those comments to be brutal - they were more like "I hate what you are saying, explain it to me better! Give me more reasons! Gaaaaaah." Whereas you're right, the Texans comments were more like "who is this clown? get this guy outta here."

6
by tuluse :: Fri, 08/03/2012 - 5:39pm

Well there was the one guy who thought he was really clever for figuring out that if the future doesn't match the patterns of the past predictions will be wrong.

7
by CraigoMc (not verified) :: Mon, 08/06/2012 - 1:35pm

I recognize those words, but that sentence makes no sense. What is he trying to say?

10
by jimbohead :: Tue, 08/07/2012 - 2:06pm

The article was fantastic. Just now got around to reading some of the comments, where I found a request that I'd like to turn into a suggestion for future books. Would it be possible in future FOAs to lay down a table or bar graph of "opponent v. win probability"? I think that would just be super awesome to see some more granular detail on how the FOA simulation machine spits out some numbers. Of course, it will open you up to more criticism, but reasonable people understand that preseason predictions, especially at that level of detail, are for entertainment purposes only.

It should be relatively trivial to program your simulation code to produce these graphs, depending on how you've structured your code.