Writers of Pro Football Prospectus 2008

04 Mar 2012

Seahawks Re-Sign Marshawn Lynch

Reported terms: 4 years, $31 million, $18 million guaranteed.

Not too far off the fabled DeAngelo Williams contract of last offseason. Me thinks we may see some much bigger running back contracts than some are comfortable with this time around. In fact, to some, this may be one of them.

Posted by: Rivers McCown on 04 Mar 2012

14 comments, Last at 05 Mar 2012, 12:38pm by Ranccor

Comments

1
by RickD :: Mon, 03/05/2012 - 12:13am

He finished the season well. But the contract seems generous. Would any other team have given Lynch anywhere near this much?

2
by Phil Osopher :: Mon, 03/05/2012 - 1:37am

ehh..Beath Moe gives good interview and makes Seattle relevant nationally

I am sure there out plenty of out clauses in there for two and three years from now.

Beath Moe will gold tooth himself to a decent season. I feel it in my skittle inflated belly

“You have to learn the rules of the game. And then you have to play better than anyone else.”
-Albert Einstein

"Judge a man by his questions rather than by his answers"
-Voltaire

3
by theslothook :: Mon, 03/05/2012 - 2:01am

PAying runningbacks = overall mistake

11
by Independent George :: Mon, 03/05/2012 - 12:03pm

That may be true in a general sense, but I'm not sure that's true here.

1. Lynch is only 25 years old, so a 4-year deal mostly coincides with his peak productivity
2. Seattle's got cap space to spare
3. The team is solid all around, and can continue to build through the draft without re-tooling the entire roster.

While it's never good to overpay, I think we have a tendency to overthink things regarding RB fungibility. Yes, they can get better value for their money, but the objective as a team is to maximize total output. It's better to have a 9-7 team with an 11-5 budget than a 7-9 team with a 5-11 budget.

12
by tuluse :: Mon, 03/05/2012 - 12:10pm

If this doesn't limit their ability to acquire a player they want, then it's not a bad deal. Except maybe to the owner's pocket book.

4
by tuluse :: Mon, 03/05/2012 - 2:53am

I think this pretty much guarantees that Forte will not be receiving a long term deal this year.

5
by akn :: Mon, 03/05/2012 - 6:06am

Well, not until Lynch regresses a bit. I have a feeling Lynch is a contract year player.

6
by Temo :: Mon, 03/05/2012 - 9:26am

This is one of those times I'm just happy a player got paid, despite what the cost implications might be.

7
by Theo :: Mon, 03/05/2012 - 10:30am

You'd think the Seahawks is the one team that wouldn't overpay a runningback.
The guy is good, but I think they should throw their money at other positions.
On the other hand, it's only 4 years and the guy is good... and the fans love him.

9
by Jeff M. (not verified) :: Mon, 03/05/2012 - 11:00am

It's a "four-year deal." Let's wait until we see the actual parameters of the contract, but I'd be pretty certain they've only committed to him for two years. And a two-year commitment to a 25 year-old makes a lot more sense than a two-year commitment to a 29 year-old Alexander.

Basically I'd guess that in return for a two year commitment instead of one under the franchise tag, the Seahawks got the cap number to come in a little lower this year (space for Williams? *fingers crossed*) and picked up a little bit of option value in years 3 and 4 if he keeps playing like the guy we saw the second half of last year.

8
by RickD :: Mon, 03/05/2012 - 10:52am

Apparently the Texans have just re-signed Arian Foster. To a 5-year deal, but I cannot quickly find the numbers. Would make for an interesting comparison.

10
by Mr Shush :: Mon, 03/05/2012 - 11:53am

The numbers aren't yet public. No indication of if or when they're likely to be.

13
by Mr Shush :: Mon, 03/05/2012 - 12:29pm

And now they are. 5 years, $43.5m, with $20m guaranteed and $30m over the first three years.

14
by Ranccor (not verified) :: Mon, 03/05/2012 - 12:38pm

I can't believe Lynch is only 25. Feels like he has been around forever.