09 Apr 2013
If you're interested, the video from this year's football analytics panel at the MIT Sloan conference is finally online. Andrea Kremer moderated; panelists were Rams COO Kevin Demoff, 49ers COO Paraag Marathe, former Patriots and Chiefs executive Scott Pioli, and -- drum roll, please -- Football Outsiders progenitor Aaron Schatz.
I was there, and I'm not saying this because he pays my bills, but Aaron was the star of the discussion. To be fair, though, he was basically the only one at liberty to offer blunt opinions. (I'd say full-throated, but he had lost his voice the day before.)
UPDATE: Since posting Aaron's panel, I came across a couple of other videos worth our readers attention that strangely have fear and loathing of Tyler Thigpen as a common thread. (Watch them, and you'll know what I mean by that.)
First, there's Evolution of the Draft: Lessons from Fantasy. The panel is moderated by Kevin Negandhi of ESPN, and includes Jaguars VP of Techonlogy and Analytics Tony Khan, ESPN fantasy guru Matthew Berry, and Rotoworld's Evan Silva. I'm linking to it because Football Outsiders got mentioned throughout, especially by Tony Khan, and especially regarding the Lewin Career Forecast. Ironically, Aaron, Rivers, and I were not in attendance.
There's also the other featured football panel of the conference, Monday Morning Quarterback: Coaching and In-Game Decisions. It was essentially an hour of "IBM Presents You Make the Call" in the context of fourth downs, two-point conversions, etc. ESPN's Tony Reali presents video of an actual game situation. Two coaches (Broncos defensive coordinator Jack Del Rio and former Chiefs and Jets head coach Herm Edwards) and one stats-savvy executive (Falcons GM Thomas Dimitroff) then say what their decision would have been in the situation. Finally, Brian Burke of Advanced NFL Stats reveals what the "correct" decision was per the numbers, and a sometimes-hilarious debate ensues.
5 comments, Last at 11 Apr 2013, 11:26pm by Insancipitory
Thanks a lot, Dak Prescott. Now more people will think the fourth round is still a gold mine for quarterbacks, but the data says otherwise. The update to our quarterback draft study for 1994-2016 shows little has changed: finding a good QB is really hard.