Writers of Pro Football Prospectus 2008

19 Feb 2015, 11:02am by Andrew Healy

One Play Away: Most Influential Plays in NFL History

After a wild postseason that included the most influential play in NFL history (by a mile), here is an updated version of some analysis that I've done at Football Perspective, a list of the 25 most important plays in the Super Bowl era.

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34 comments, Last at 27 Mar 2015, 4:28pm by bloggesrdog

16 Feb 2015, 05:45pm by Aaron Schatz

Introducing Expected Contract Value

Great series over the past week on the website OvertheCap.com featuring a new metric by Bryce Johnston. The idea here is to come up with a metric for measuring the value of a contract that gives us the most accurate accounting of how much of the contract is likely to be earned by the player. Johnston used regression analysis to determine that roughly 80 percent of the decision-making about when to cut NFL players is driven only by the numbers of the contract, not the actual value of the player.

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18 comments, Last at 27 Mar 2015, 4:28pm by bloggesrdog

13 Feb 2015, 07:25pm by Aaron Schatz

Want to Help FO? It's Guest Column and Extra Points Submission Time!

Hey, readers. I just wanted to remind everyone that the offseason is the best time for Football Outsiders to be running guest columns. You can submit your ideas or rough drafts to us at mailbag-at-footballoutsiders.com. We're looking for deep stat analysis and new ideas or theories, although we're willing to look past that for excellent film analysis or Tanier-level humor. Please excuse the fact that we're sometimes very slow to respond to e-mails. We do get to them all, we promise.

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10 Feb 2015, 08:56pm by Vincent Verhei

Wisdom Of The Crowds: Greatest QB Of All-Time

For those of you who really, really like to rank things, Chase Stuart and the gang at FootballPerspective.com are asking for reader submissions for the top 25 quarterbacks of all time, in order. The theory is, the more submissions they get, the more accurate their survey will be. So if you're so inclined, let your opinion be heard -- er, read.

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107 comments, Last at 27 Mar 2015, 4:29pm by bloggesrdog

09 Feb 2015, 07:09pm by Aaron Schatz

NFL Films Founder Ed Sabol Dead at 98

Sabol was elected to the Pro Football Hall of Fame in 2011 and was given a Lifetime Achievement Emmy in 2003. His son Steve, of course, passed away due to brain cancer two years ago.

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7 comments, Last at 27 Mar 2015, 4:29pm by bloggesrdog

09 Feb 2015, 12:48pm by Aaron Schatz

MMQB: The Super Bowl According to Tom Brady

Good MMQB today by Peter King, in-depth interviews as Josh McDaniels and Tom Brady review their strategy going into the comeback drives in the fourth quarter of Super Bowl XLIX. Among the tidbits: they basically realized the only way to beat the Seahawks was death by a thousand paper cuts. Also, updates on the various cheating scandals around the league and whether Darren Sharper should cause us to question the Hall of Fame standards which state players should be considered for football only.

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2 comments, Last at 27 Mar 2015, 4:29pm by bloggesrdog

05 Feb 2015, 10:20pm by Scott Kacsmar

Patriots Lead NFL in Goal-Line Stands Under Bill Belichick

The Seahawks had 1:06 and one timeout left with a first down at the New England 5. How often does a defense prevent the touchdown in this dire situation? We examined back to 1998 and found that Bill Belichick has watched his defense come up big before in this spot.

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14 comments, Last at 27 Mar 2015, 4:29pm by bloggesrdog

05 Feb 2015, 02:35pm by Matt Waldman

Todd Gurley: Feed Me, Seymour

It’s not the Eddie George Plate, it’s the Eddie Georgia Plate. And it’s fit for a Big Dawg.

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1 comment, Last at 27 Mar 2015, 4:30pm by bloggesrdog

03 Feb 2015, 04:39pm by Aaron Schatz

FO Madden 15 Ultimate Team for Super Bowl XLIX

Here's our announcement of the four men who starred in Super Bowl XLIX and will be new Football Outsiders-branded elite players for Madden 15 Ultimate Team this weekend. (Click to read more.)

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1 comment, Last at 27 Mar 2015, 4:30pm by bloggesrdog

02 Feb 2015, 07:35pm by Vincent Verhei

Falcons Finally Name Quinn Head Coach

The worst-kept secret in the NFL for the past few weeks has been the Atlanta Falcons' desire to name Seattle defensive coordinator Dan Quinn their new head coach, but they had to wait to make a formal announcement because the Seahawks kept winning playoff games. With that pattern coming to an abrupt end, the move everyone has been expecting has finally been made official.

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29 comments, Last at 27 Mar 2015, 4:30pm by bloggesrdog