20 Dec 2013
Our old friend Bill Barnwell updates a study he did for Football Outsiders Almanac 2011, showing which teams truly have the strongest home-field advantage over the past decade. The answer: the NFC West, the Ravens (surprise!) and not the Saints (surprise again!). However, the gigantic difference between each team's home-field advantage from 2002-2010 and their home-field advantage from 1990-2001 makes you wonder how "real" these differences truly are. Why would the Broncos and Jaguars have advantages that were so much bigger in the 90s than in the 00s?
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Short-yardage passing had a good year, except at the end of the Super Bowl. We look at the return of quarterback runs, the rise in pass-happy strategy, and 2014 success rates for offense and defense.