11 Nov 2013
compiled by Andrew Potter
Here's what we know -- and in some cases, what we don't -- about the injuries from Week 10's games.
Jay Cutler was replaced for Chicago's final drive after an ankle sprain limited his effectiveness on Sunday, and that ankle sprain now has him considered “week to week”. Mention has also been made of Cutler aggravating his existing groin injury, but if the groin was bothering him it's more likely that it simply wasn't yet conditioned for the demands of a full game rather than being aggravated. A true aggravation of the tear would almost certainly have removed him from the game immediately, as it did when he first sustained it. Either way, Josh McCown has been effective in relief -- 30.9% DVOA, 170 DYAR on 63 passes before Sunday --
Meanwhile, star cornerback Charles Tillman has been placed on injured reserve with the return designation due to a triceps injury suffered on Sunday -- another major blow to Chicago's already injury-hit defense (-4.8%, tenth). He will be eligible to return for the divisional round of the playoffs, should Chicago make it there without him.
Peyton Manning revealed that he is due to have his “lower area” scanned today, which has been widely interpreted as referring to his right high ankle sprain. Reports are suggesting that the sprain was aggravated, but the DVOA, DYAR, TD passes, yardage, and just about everything else league leader is “absolutely” expected to play in Week 11's game against the QB Wins! league leader.
Michael Floyd left Sunday's game with a right shoulder injury which has been reported as an AC joint sprain, also known as a shoulder separation. This occurs when the ligaments connecting the shoulder blade to the collarbone are hyperextended or otherwise stressed (for example, by impact) and tear. As with other muscle and ligament tears, there is a scale of severity: a Grade 1 sprain would allow Floyd to play, though potentially strapped up and wary of impact, whereas a Grade 2 sprain or worse will likely keep him out for several weeks. Bruce Arians has stated that he expects Floyd back next week, which suggests a Grade 1 sprain. Floyd has been Arizona's most reliable receiver, though as with their passing game at large he's neither particularly productive (49 DYAR, 47th) nor efficient (-1.1% DVOA, 46th).
King Dunlap suffered his third concussion of this season on Sunday, one of a slew of injuries to a San Diego front which ranked fourth by both Adjusted Sack Rate and Adjusted Line Yards entering Sunday's game. No indication has been given of the severity of Dunlap's concussion, but this is evidently a persistent problem for him. Nick Hardwick missed a chunk of Sunday's second half with a stinger -- a nerve injury characterized by pain, numbness, and weakness in the affected arm -- but is not expected to miss time beyond that. No further information is yet available on the injuries which caused Le'Ron McClain and Larry English to leave Sunday's game.
Mike McGlynn's thumb was broken during Sunday's game, and will require a cast. Chuck Pagano calls him “day to day”. It's difficult to assess how much replacing him with a backup -- presumably Jeff Linkenbach -- would affect the Indianapolis offensive line, which ranks 14th by Adjusted Sack Rate but allows hits on Andrew Luck at an astonishing pace (50 through Weeks 1-9, 50% more than second-place Atlanta and Washington).
Sean Lee is expected to miss 3-4 weeks with the hamstring injury he suffered on Sunday night, the same time given for DeMarcus Ware's return. Ware returned within the estimated time period, but was clearly still limited by his quad injury. Any similarly lingering hamstring problem would have a significant effect on Lee's performance, particularly in pass coverage. The Dallas pass defense's 5.4% DVOA ranked 16th going into Week 10, but as Sunday demonstrated Lee is a player the Cowboys can ill afford to lose.
All of the above players left Sunday's game, but Chip Kelly had no update on any of them at his lunchtime press conference. He expects to speak to the medical staff this afternoon, so more news may be available this evening.
Tony Gonzalez left Sunday's game briefly with a toe injury, then returned, but his status is unclear for Week 11 and beyond. With Roddy White still not fully health and Julio Jones on injured reserve, any missed time for Gonzalez would be second only to the loss of Matt Ryan in its impact on Atlanta's already injured-decimated passing game (23.5%, ninth). Gonzalez ranked tenth by DYAR and 19th by DVOA (5.8%) entering Sunday's game, having been so much the focus of Atlanta's passing game that he was at times triple covered (see Luke Kuechly's interception) in Week 9.
Brandon Browner left Sunday's game with a groin injury, and no update on his status has yet been made public. Walter Thurmond replaced Browner on Sunday and would start in his stead, which is testament to the depth of Seattle's first-ranked DVOA pass defense (-24.7%).
Multiple reports on Sunday very quickly stated that a lisfranc injury will end Jake Locker's already injury-blighted season -- a season which had shown considerable promise in September. Locker's season ends with him ranked 21st by DYAR, not including his plays on Sunday, and 19th in DVOA. Both of those numbers indicate a considerable improvement over 2012's performance. Ryan Fitzpatrick (-33 DYAR, -17.0% DVOA) will take over as the starter in Locker's absence.
Browns linebacker Quentin Groves will miss the rest of the season with an ankle injury.
Packers quarterback Seneca Wallace left Sunday's game with a groin injury. No prognosis is yet available for Wallace. Scott Tolzien has already been named the starter for Week 11.
In addition to the others mentioned above, 49ers Safety Eric Reid, 49ers Tight End Vernon Davis, Saints Tight End Ben Watson, and Saints Safety Kenny Vaccaro all left their respective games with concussion symptoms. All will have to pass the NFL concussion protocol to return to practice and games. How quickly that happens will determine whether they miss any future games. Reports are suggesting that Vaccaro will miss at least one week, possibly two. No further information is yet available on the others.
12 comments, Last at 13 Nov 2013, 12:28pm by justanothersteve
Thanks a lot, Dak Prescott. Now more people will think the fourth round is still a gold mine for quarterbacks, but the data says otherwise. The update to our quarterback draft study for 1994-2016 shows little has changed: finding a good QB is really hard.