08 Sep 2016, 05:56pm by Scott Kacsmar
Scott Kacsmar makes his 2016 predictions, noting where he specifically agrees and disagrees with the FO projections.
5 comments, Last at 11 Sep 2016, 12:05pm by galactic_dev
08 Sep 2016, 04:28pm by Aaron Schatz
Once again this season, we're partnering with EA Sports to bring special Football Outsiders-branded items to Madden 17 Ultimate Team. Find out the first five players to go into packs this weekend. (Click to read more.)
07 Sep 2016, 06:23pm by Scott Kacsmar
If you think the NFL product has been lacking in recent years, you are not alone. Just consider the age of the players. Kevin Clark of The Ringer has an interesting piece on the concern of more young players entering the league, fewer older players making rosters, and what effect that can have on the fundamentals of football. Our snap-weighted age metric is mentioned as the average age of rosters has gradually decreased from 27.2 in 2006 to a record-low 26.6 in 2015. There is also an interesting story of Baltimore coach John Harbaugh approaching DeMaurice Smith, the head of the NFLPA, at Tray Walker's funeral in March to express his dismay with the NFL's current rules for offseason contact between coaches and players.
65 comments, Last at 16 Sep 2016, 7:02am by Theo
07 Sep 2016, 04:23pm by Aaron Schatz
Football Outsiders is proud to introduce two new Premium products that readers have long requested: 1) Weekly fantasy football projections and 2) Game charting metrics updated throughout the 2016 regular season. (Click to read more.)
12 comments, Last at 08 Sep 2016, 8:08pm by Aaron Schatz
06 Sep 2016, 11:19pm by Tom Gower
More Football Outsiders Almanac 2016 in the media. This time, it's the latest installment with FO fan Steph Stradley, who runs a Texans blog hosted by the Houston Chronicle. Topics discussed include projecting the Texans, Brock Osweiler and what the Texans might have done otherwise, perennially dismal special teams units and how much they matter, and that the AFC South isn't very good. Somehow, Jadeveon Clowney's name did not come up, believed to be a first in 2016 Texans-related content.
1 comment, Last at 07 Sep 2016, 2:58pm by JFP
06 Sep 2016, 06:52pm by Aaron Schatz
Hey kids, it's time to join your favorite contest. Pick the worst fantasy players in the NFL, the guys who'll be racking up statlines of 9 carries for 15 yards and 1 catch for 4 yards on 3 targets. You can win a free copy of our KUBIAK fantasy projections next season, or a free copy of Football Outsiders Almanac 2017! Entries end on Saturday night.
03 Sep 2016, 11:12am by Sterling Xie
In a move completely out of left field, the Eagles have reportedly traded Sam Bradford to the recently quarterback-needy Vikings for a 2017 first-round pick and 2018 fourth-round pick. The move was first reported by ESPN's Adam Schefter.
It certainly seems like a hefty price tag to pay for Bradford, who has never posted an above-average and healthy season (at least if you put stock in DVOA, and if you're reading this, you surely do). This is especially true given that Bradford is ostensibly a one-year rental. However, given the structural damage Teddy Bridgewater suffered in addition to his torn ACL, perhaps the Vikings also see Bradford as insurance for 2017. Philadelphia has already paid out the entirety of Bradford's $11 million signing bonus, but Minnesota would still be on the hook for a $17 million cap hit if they keep Bradford through next season, per Spotrac. At the very least, if Bradford is competent, it's easy to imagine Rick Spielman picking up the quarterback's $4 million option in March.
Meanwhile, the Eagles somehow recouped more than they gave up for Bradford in the first place. Howie Roseman has now mostly restocked what Philly lost from its draft cupboard in trading up for Carson Wentz, who is now a step closer to taking the reins under center for good.
129 comments, Last at 12 Sep 2016, 9:42am by ZDNeal
02 Sep 2016, 12:09pm by The Outsiders
Teams need to cut down their rosters to 53 men by 4 p.m. EDT on Saturday. We'll keep track of the big-name cuts, trades, and IR moves in this thread. (Click to read more.)
39 comments, Last at 07 Sep 2016, 11:18am by MilkmanDanimal
01 Sep 2016, 12:03pm by Brian Fremeau
Dirk Chatelain writing for the Omaha World-Herald presents potential reasons for an apparent decline in home field advantage in college football -- specifically highlighted in the Big Ten and Big 12. Among the hypotheses for why? More balanced officiating due to instant replay booth reviews.
18 comments, Last at 06 Sep 2016, 11:34pm by Dennis
30 Aug 2016, 03:37pm by Tom Gower
Bad breaking news coming out of Vikings practice today, as starting quarterback Teddy Bridgewater went down with what was reported to be a non-contact left knee/leg injury. Mike Zimmer canceled practice 25 minutes in, soon after the injury happened, and Vikings players were cursing, slamming helmets, and praying for him before an ambulance arrived to take Bridgewater to the hospital. Zimmer is expected to have a press conference later this afternoon to give additional information. Updates to come as we know more.
71 comments, Last at 03 Sep 2016, 11:09am by morganja
Thanks a lot, Dak Prescott. Now more people will think the fourth round is still a gold mine for quarterbacks, but the data says otherwise. The update to our quarterback draft study for 1994-2016 shows little has changed: finding a good QB is really hard.