Writers of Pro Football Prospectus 2008

16 Nov 2011

FEI: Week 11

Brian Fremeau is ill this week so he was unable to write any commentary for today. Nonetheless, here's the new FEI Top 25 for your viewing and discussing pleasure.

FEI Week 11 Top 25

The Fremeau Efficiency Index (FEI) rewards playing well against good teams, win or lose, and punishes losing to poor teams more harshly than it rewards defeating poor teams. FEI is drive-based, not play-by-play based, and it is specifically engineered to measure the college game.

FEI is the opponent-adjusted value of Game Efficiency (GE), a measurement of the success rate of a team scoring and preventing opponent scoring throughout the non-garbage-time possessions of a game. FEI represents a team's efficiency value over average. Strength of Schedule (SOS) is calculated as the likelihood that an "elite team" (two standard deviations above average) would win every game on the given team's schedule. "SOS Pvs" represents only games played to date. "SOS Fut" represents only remaining scheduled games.

Mean Wins (FBS MW) represent the average total games a team with the given FEI rating should expect to win against its complete schedule of FBS opponents. Remaining Mean Wins (FBS RMW) represent the average expected team wins for games scheduled but not yet played.

Offensive FEI (OFEI), Defensive FEI (DFEI), Special Teams Efficiency (STE) are also provided, along with Field Position Advantage (FPA), the share of the value of total starting field position earned by each team against its opponents.

Only games between FBS teams are considered in the FEI calculations. These FEI ratings are a function of results of games played through November 12. The ratings for all FBS teams can be found here. You can also find OFEI, DFEI, and STE on their own pages.

Rk Team FBS
W-L
FEI Last
Wk
GE GE
Rk
SOS
Pvs
Rk SOS
Fut
Rk FBS
MW
FBS
RW
OFEI Rk DFEI Rk STE Rk FPA Rk
1 LSU 9-0 .315 1 .285 5 .201 16 .748 42 9.7 1.8 .359 22 -.734 1 3.429 4 .590 2
2 Oklahoma State 10-0 .269 3 .294 3 .343 57 .724 34 10.6 1.7 .297 29 -.705 2 2.868 8 .558 6
3 Alabama 9-1 .261 2 .317 2 .209 20 .971 119 9.4 0.9 .407 17 -.641 6 -.107 65 .533 17
4 Oregon 8-1 .233 9 .256 9 .201 18 .782 52 9.1 1.7 .409 16 -.576 9 1.893 18 .517 36
5 Oklahoma 8-1 .230 5 .267 8 .307 44 .449 4 9.6 1.2 .476 8 -.599 7 .354 49 .572 3
6 Wisconsin 7-2 .225 6 .373 1 .351 61 .739 40 9.2 1.5 .550 4 -.371 23 -.471 72 .514 39
7 Arkansas 8-1 .216 11 .133 20 .322 48 .312 1 8.6 1.1 .382 19 -.158 43 2.296 14 .524 26
8 Boise State 8-1 .207 7 .280 6 .484 90 .951 84 10.7 2.9 .343 27 -.334 26 2.330 13 .615 1
9 Clemson 8-1 .201 8 .144 15 .351 60 .739 39 8.7 1.5 .522 5 -.33 28 .679 41 .517 35
10 Stanford 9-1 .199 4 .278 7 .408 78 .82 56 10.1 1.6 .351 25 -.458 14 .896 35 .503 58
11 USC 8-2 .195 10 .134 19 .355 64 .557 9 9.5 1.3 .434 12 -.202 37 1.475 25 .538 16
12 Michigan State 7-2 .192 14 .100 27 .158 8 .840 62 7.9 1.7 .082 48 -.591 8 2.374 11 .539 15
Rk Team FBS
W-L
FEI Last
Wk
GE GE
Rk
SOS
Pvs
Rk SOS
Fut
Rk FBS
MW
FBS
RW
OFEI Rk DFEI Rk STE Rk FPA Rk
13 Nebraska 7-2 .177 16 .123 23 .273 30 .611 16 7.9 1.2 .351 24 -.112 49 3.136 5 .542 12
14 Florida State 6-3 .175 17 .152 13 .329 52 .860 67 8.3 1.5 .033 56 -.502 12 4.020 1 .556 7
15 Michigan 8-2 .173 15 .212 10 .275 31 .723 32 8.9 1.3 .435 11 -.454 16 -.688 80 .522 29
16 Virginia Tech 8-1 .169 28 .113 25 .419 80 .768 47 8.3 1.4 .248 32 -.414 18 -1.149 86 .520 32
17 Notre Dame 7-3 .168 19 .180 11 .250 28 .621 19 8.3 1.3 .432 14 -.457 15 .880 36 .494 69
18 Kansas State 7-2 .159 23 .082 34 .191 14 .827 58 7.7 1.6 .213 37 -.394 21 2.118 16 .540 14
19 Georgia 7-2 .147 26 .140 16 .552 100 .738 38 8.4 1.4 .290 31 -.417 17 -1.617 95 .489 79
20 Cincinnati 6-2 .142 24 .136 18 .467 88 .691 27 7.9 2.0 .434 13 -.262 32 -.070 63 .531 21
21 Texas A&M 5-5 .142 21 .084 33 .145 5 .928 75 8.0 1.7 .427 15 -.122 47 .257 53 .507 51
22 TCU 7-2 .138 44 .174 12 .513 94 .970 104 9.2 2.0 .365 21 -.146 46 .998 33 .533 18
23 Ohio State 6-4 .136 13 .088 30 .222 25 .599 14 7.5 0.9 -.071 66 -.539 10 2.438 10 .555 8
24 Georgia Tech 6-3 .136 12 .130 21 .341 56 .846 64 7.5 1.3 .466 9 -.182 42 -1.594 94 .496 67
25 Penn State 7-2 .136 25 .066 38 .326 49 .435 2 6.8 0.6 -.116 75 -.692 3 -.139 66 .523 28

Posted by: Brian Fremeau on 16 Nov 2011

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