Writers of Pro Football Prospectus 2008

03 Nov 2016

FEI Week 9

(Ed. Note: Our man Brian Fremeau is enjoying a nice promotion at his day job, but moving to new responsibilities got in the way of writing a full column for this week. So please enjoy our updated FEI college football ratings below; Brian will be back with a full column for next week.)

FEI Ratings Through Week 9

The Fremeau Efficiency Index (FEI) is a college football rating system based on opponent-adjusted drive efficiency. Approximately 20,000 possessions are contested annually in FBS vs. FBS games. First-half clock-kills and end-of-game garbage drives and scores are filtered out. Unadjusted game efficiency (GE) is a measure of net success on non-garbage possessions, and opponent adjustments are calculated with special emphasis placed on quality performances against good teams, win or lose. Overall SOS ratings represent the likelihood than an elite team (two standard deviations better than average) would go undefeated against the given team's entire schedule.

Offensive FEI (OFEI) is value generated per offensive non-garbage possession adjusted for the strength of opponent defenses faced. Defensive FEI (DFEI) is value generated per opponent offensive non-garbage possession adjusted for the strength of opponent offenses faced. Special Teams Efficiency (STE) is the average value generated per non-garbage possession by a team's non-offensive and non-defensive units.

Strength of schedule ratings for games played to date (SOP) and for scheduled games remaining to be played (SOR), along with the projected number of FBS wins remaining against scheduled opponents (MWR) are also provided.

Ratings for all teams are linked here.

Rk Team Rec FEI GE Rk SOS Rk OFEI Rk DFEI Rk STE Rk SOP Rk SOR Rk MWR
1 Alabama 8-0 .329 .315 3 .175 35 .75 17 1.67 1 .04 39 .374 42 .469 22 2.6
2 Clemson 7-0 .304 .124 23 .200 42 .58 23 .98 7 .04 42 .238 23 .842 87 3.9
3 Michigan 8-0 .287 .362 2 .136 24 1.27 3 .99 6 .22 1 .504 62 .270 10 3.2
4 Ohio State 7-1 .282 .265 6 .121 22 .86 14 .95 8 .04 44 .291 32 .414 17 3.4
5 Washington 7-0 .238 .397 1 .414 79 1.33 2 .73 10 .19 2 .731 110 .567 32 3.4
6 Auburn 6-2 .225 .243 7 .051 1 .99 10 .83 9 .08 21 .229 20 .225 5 2.1
7 Louisville 7-1 .214 .294 4 .171 32 1.17 4 .72 11 .00 66 .226 19 .756 70 3.6
8 Wisconsin 6-2 .209 .097 33 .064 5 .22 46 1.29 2 -.02 77 .090 2 .705 60 3.5
9 Texas A&M 6-1 .189 .110 26 .068 6 .43 26 .43 24 .10 16 .098 3 .697 58 3.3
10 Western Michigan 7-0 .188 .293 5 .646 117 1.56 1 .20 45 .00 64 .708 106 .913 104 3.7
11 LSU 4-2 .182 .147 17 .069 8 .41 27 1.26 3 -.15 124 .316 34 .219 4 2.2
12 Washington State 6-1 .175 .161 14 .249 49 .76 16 .45 21 -.04 85 .528 68 .472 23 2.7
13 Boise State 7-1 .174 .169 12 .563 110 .66 20 .67 12 -.10 113 .630 91 .893 99 3.7
14 Colorado 5-2 .161 .122 24 .158 30 .38 31 1.00 5 -.22 127 .225 18 .702 59 3.0
15 Virginia Tech 5-2 .158 .131 21 .397 73 .19 50 .46 20 .09 18 .497 59 .798 82 3.3
Rk Team Rec FEI GE Rk SOS Rk OFEI Rk DFEI Rk STE Rk SOP Rk SOR Rk MWR
16 Nebraska 7-1 .146 .145 18 .099 14 .25 42 .44 23 .11 12 .371 40 .266 9 2.3
17 West Virginia 5-1 .144 .105 28 .455 86 .24 43 .58 16 .01 62 .631 92 .722 64 4.0
18 Northwestern 4-3 .143 .063 41 .118 21 .54 25 .37 30 .03 51 .180 13 .657 47 3.0
19 Penn State 6-2 .141 .076 37 .108 18 .38 32 .35 32 .03 53 .131 5 .824 86 3.3
20 Tennessee 5-3 .140 .019 60 .152 29 .36 34 .23 39 .10 17 .163 9 .932 109 2.7
21 Baylor 5-1 .131 .222 8 .452 84 .63 22 .22 42 -.05 90 .798 118 .566 31 3.3
22 Florida 6-1 .126 .204 9 .336 59 .03 63 1.04 4 .01 63 .679 99 .495 24 2.4
23 Florida State 4-3 .125 -.001 66 .112 20 .71 19 -.10 71 -.06 99 .145 6 .773 73 3.0
24 Houston 6-2 .120 .145 19 .490 91 .25 41 .51 19 .02 54 .714 108 .687 56 2.0
25 BYU 4-4 .115 .029 54 .379 67 .07 59 .25 37 .11 13 .390 44 .970 126 2.9
26 Mississippi 2-5 .114 .028 55 .089 13 .94 12 -.04 62 -.04 84 .148 7 .598 35 2.8
27 Troy 5-1 .110 .157 15 .251 50 .07 58 .59 15 .18 4 .268 28 .935 110 4.6
28 Miami 3-4 .110 .053 42 .345 62 -.03 71 .35 33 .08 22 .435 49 .793 81 2.8
29 USC 5-3 .110 .128 22 .077 10 .57 24 .06 56 .12 8 .190 15 .404 15 2.2
30 Iowa 5-2 .107 .137 20 .193 39 .33 37 .20 44 .11 9 .560 75 .345 12 1.9

Posted by: Brian Fremeau on 03 Nov 2016

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