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28 Jan 2013

Film Room: Ravens Offense-49ers Defense

by Andy Benoit

Click here to read about the 49ers offense and the Ravens defense.

The Ravens wouldn’t be here without Joe Flacco, the fifth-year pro who has caught fire down the stretch. Flacco is not quite having a playoff run for the ages, but he’s responding to the challenge of spearheading this Ravens offense. And, as we’ve reviewed many times this season, running this Ravens offense is no small task.

1. Facing San Francisco’s D

It’s no secret that the 49ers will play man coverage with two deep safeties for most of this game. That’s what they’ve done all season. Man coverage is also what teams have played against the Ravens all season. It was very telling that, even after Aqib Talib left the AFC Championship with a hamstring injury, Bill Belichick elected to stay in two-man. Yes, the Ravens wound up torching New England’s degenerated secondary, but the fact that Belichick was willing to stick with that coverage tells you how he felt about the Ravens receivers.

Torrey Smith and Jacoby Jones are not good against tight man coverage. Neither of them is physically strong, and both have trouble maintaining efficiency in their breaks. Smith showed in the first half against Denver that he’s capable of rising up and disproving this, but he also showed in the second half of that game, and both halves of the AFC title game, that he can be completely eliminated by an underneath man defender who has safety help over the top. That’s how the Niners will play him this Sunday.

The big question is whether Anquan Boldin can win his one-on-one matchup against Carlos Rogers -- both outside and from the slot. Boldin doesn’t necessarily need to get a lot of separation in order to make catches, but he does need a little extra time to execute his routes. That was problematic at times earlier in the year when Flacco was clearly uncomfortable throwing with bodies around him. Lately, however, the strong-armed Flacco has been calmer in the pocket, which has allowed him to make plays late in the down, when Boldin thrives.

One concern with two-man is that it can open up scrambling lanes for the quarterback. Flacco isn’t a mobile guy, per se, but he’s a better mover in space than people might realize. And it’s likely that he’ll have to move often. Right tackle Michael Oher could struggle with the explosive Ahmad Brooks in pass protection. On the left side, tackle Bryant McKinnie and guard Kelechi Osemele will have their hands full with the stunts and twists of Justin Smith and Aldon Smith.

2. "Man Beaters"

An ongoing complaint about Cam Cameron’s (and now Jim Caldwell’s) offense is that it doesn’t do enough to help its players against man coverage. Part of that is because the Ravens have a lot of faith in Flacco’s ability to make tough throws into small windows, both outside the numbers and downfield. But another part of it is, frankly, just bad offensive design.

Hopefully the Ravens used the extra week of preparation for this game to install more man-beating concepts in their offense. Simple pre-snap motion can be a good man-beater. So can intertwined crossing patterns, due to the pick effect. A lot of times, an offense can beat man coverage by simply aligning in the right kind of bunch formation. The Ravens did this a few times (but not many) at New England.

Graphics by Matt Glickman

3. The X-factors

There are two X-factors in Baltimore’s passing game: Ray Rice and Dennis Pitta. In man coverage, the Niners almost always put NaVorro Bowman on the running back and Patrick Willis on the tight end. Athletically, Willis should be able to hang with the lithe Pitta. If he can be physical with Pitta early in the route, he’ll win. (All the more reason for Baltimore to help Pitta in ways like they did in the graphic above.)

Baltimore's focal point needs to be Rice. He’s a very good route runner out of the backfield. It makes sense to use him that way because if you keep him in as a help-blocker (an area in which he’s struggled a lot this year), you’re inviting Bowman to come on a green dog blitz, which is something he's quite good at. By sending him out, you’re forcing Bowman to react to your most dynamic ball-handler.

A great way to feed Rice would be with screen passes. Screens are easy to run against man coverage because blockers only have to identify one player in the box: the running back’s man defender. With Osemele and Marshal Yanda, the Ravens have guards who are athletic enough to get out in front and locate the safety.

4. The run game

Rice’s touches can’t come strictly through the air. Even though the 49ers are tough to run against, it’s important that the Ravens stay committed to the ground. They have an excellent zone-blocking scheme; they have the game’s best lead-blocker in Vonta Leach, and they have an elite cutback runner in Rice along with a surprisingly effective off-tackle ballcarrier in Bernard Pierce. That’s simply too many assets to overlook.

What’s more, a viable run game would make play-action more effective. It’s totally untrue that an offense must establish the run in order to set up play-action. Iif the play-action motion is well-executed up front, the defenders will react; in a lot of schemes, the defenders are obligated to react. A potent run game can makes play-action all the more dynamic though. The Ravens are a big-play offense predicated on vertical routes. Many of their shot plays come off long play-action rollouts from base personnel. In fact, expect a heavy dose of play-action bombs in the first half. That’s how the Ravens can establish an early lead, which might be their best chance at stopping San Francisco’s ground game on the other side.

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Posted by: Andy Benoit on 28 Jan 2013

13 comments, Last at 30 Jan 2013, 5:52pm by beargoggles

Comments

1
by Aaron Brooks Go... :: Mon, 01/28/2013 - 2:50pm

The primary knock on McKinnie is that he can't handle speed rushers, right? Neither Smith strikes me as the speed-rusher type.

4
by Will Allen :: Mon, 01/28/2013 - 9:19pm

Aldon Smith is definitely a speed rusher, albeit on who also uses his speed to get a tackle on his heels, and then finishes him off with power. He's plenty fast enough to make the Mckinnie of 2009 and 2010 look hideous. What has surprised me over the last month is that I've seen the Mckinnie of, well, if not 2004, which was a legitimate unrecognized Pro Bowler, at least the Mckinnie of 2008, who was still a very effective player. I have no idea what to expect in the matchup of the Ravens o-line and 49ers defensive front, because Mckinnie has surprised me so much, and because both Smiths are dealing with injuries, and I don't know what they'll be able to do.

5
by Karl Cuba :: Tue, 01/29/2013 - 2:10pm

My impression of Aldon Smith is that he's more of a power/technique rusher in a speed rusher's body and JJ Cooper's analysis backs that up. He only has about 5 or 6 speed rush sacks out of his two year total of more than 30.

7
by Will Allen :: Tue, 01/29/2013 - 2:20pm

You get into a semantic debate on this stuff. I think speed is what sets up most of the things he does, in contrast to a Julius Peppers, whose power is what sets up most of the things he does.

2
by jonnyblazin :: Mon, 01/28/2013 - 3:33pm

Rice is a great receiving RB, but it seems that defenses key on him anytime Flacco drops back to pass. Hence his receiving DVOA is -11.9% this year, its not due to lack of skill but rather defenses scheme to take him out of the passing game. It will be interesting to see how much attention SF devotes to him. If the safeties creep up in support, then Flacco will likely take his chances down the field on single coverage, even if the WR isn't open.

3
by TimTheEnchanter (not verified) :: Mon, 01/28/2013 - 5:12pm

Not having studied film, but strictly from a fan's perspective, one of the biggest problems this year has been the lack of designed routes for Rice. The prevailing sentiment among ravens fans is that Cam Cameron didn't utilize screens enough (some would say at all), and most of Rice's involvement in the passing game was strictly as a dump-off outlet receiver where defenders who shouldn't be able to match his speed could sit on him and crush him right after he caught the ball because they knew where he'd be.

Caldwell has at least run a couple screens for him the past few weeks. Being more creative and unpredictable in getting the ball to Rice in a situation where he has an opportunity to make a play would be a huge help to the offense.

9
by Sgood (not verified) :: Tue, 01/29/2013 - 3:37pm

Agreed, I saw a lot of Rice drifting out into the middle of the field between the hashes, five yards in front of an inside linebacker, then turning around, flat footed, and waiting for the ball. He's much more effective on angle routes, where he runs an outside slant past the o-line, then cuts back inside once he's drawn coverage, outrunning an ILB.

6
by Karl Cuba :: Tue, 01/29/2013 - 2:16pm

The Ravens' offensive line really worries me. I think that the niners will have a very good chance if they can harass Flacco on five and seven step drops but getting good play out of McKinnie has improved three spots on their front as now Oher isn't overmatched at left tackle and Osemele looks much more natural at guard. The other two are hardly slouches.

The improved health of their defense has seen that unit return to the sort of top five form that was expected of them before the season.

To sum up, I'm worried. If the niners have to kick field goals then I'm terrified.

8
by Will Allen :: Tue, 01/29/2013 - 2:37pm

Yeah, I think Harbaugh the Younger would be wise to adopt a four down strategy until he gets to, I dunno, the 15-20 yard line. He could end up with some 4th and ones, by running on 3rd and seven, and I think that is manageable for them. I think I'd prefer that over some 40 yard field goal attempts, with a guy you have little confidence in. He might be the kind of coach with the courage to try it.

I remain flabbergasted, and more than a little irritated, by the formerly fat sack of blubber otherwise known as one Bryant Mckinnie. I also remain convinced that there is a guy living on a farm in Mississippi, chronically in need of a shave, who, in an even greater state of irritation, will watch Sunday, and, if Mckinnie's play continues, shout, "Where was THAT guy, in December 2010, as the Chicago Bears were trying to make me a homicide victim!"

10
by beargoggles :: Tue, 01/29/2013 - 11:30pm

Yeah, I'm not feeling the overconfidence of the Bay Area. I'm afraid our DL is a shadow of its former self, and that Ed Reed might have a surprise for Kap. Hope I'm wrong. I can honestly see a lot of scenarios playing out, but most of them are close. Close and low scoring. Close and high scoring. But if it comes down to kickers....yikes.

11
by 0tarin :: Wed, 01/30/2013 - 2:44am

If it helps you guys out any, us Ravens fans are feeling just as concerned. But that said, I love how the teams match up; I think SF is better overall, but as someone mentioned in a different post, I feel like Baltimore's variance is high enough that they can bust out some surprises on a pretty steady basis. As the playoffs have already shown, of course.

13
by beargoggles :: Wed, 01/30/2013 - 5:52pm

Ravens are my favorite AFC team. It's gonna be fun!

12
by Karl Cuba :: Wed, 01/30/2013 - 9:07am

One more thing: Vontae Leach is a hell beast. He is one of the few fullbacks in the game that has shown he can plant Willis flat on his back. Great player to watch for those that love their fullbacks.