Writers of Pro Football Prospectus 2008

06 Oct 2009

ESPN Any Given Sunday: Broncos over Cowboys

How for real are the Broncos? If Sunday's win over Dallas is any indication, the answer is "very." Plus: Will someone please get the Cowboys some wide receivers?

Posted by: Vince Verhei on 06 Oct 2009

17 comments, Last at 07 Oct 2009, 10:34pm by PerlStalker

Comments

1
by andrew :: Tue, 10/06/2009 - 4:20pm

Is this our first AGS of an undefeated team winning over a non-undefeated team? Even this early in the year?

2
by Measure (not verified) :: Tue, 10/06/2009 - 5:38pm

Pretty sure that DAVE predicted this outcome, so not sure why it would be an Any Given Sunday article.

3
by Vince Verhei :: Tue, 10/06/2009 - 6:38pm

Dallas was 3-point favorites. We were actually all set to go with Jacksonville over Tennessee (also 3-point favorites). But I don't think there were any other upsets.

4
by BroncosGuy (not verified) :: Tue, 10/06/2009 - 6:49pm

Also, the article's lead is that Denver is playing good defense. That alone is an upset.

5
by Key19 :: Tue, 10/06/2009 - 7:03pm

Yeah, I have pretty much decided that drafting anything but a WR in the first round next season (assume we don't trade our first round pick away for Javon Walker or something) would be a huge mistake. Turns out the "developing" guys suck and the "I am a #1 WR, I promise!" guy sucks too. At least the "#1" is a coachable WR, for whatever that's worth.

6
by The Hypno-Toad :: Wed, 10/07/2009 - 12:48am

Hmmm, the "ESPN has stolen my FO content!" thing just hit home for me. Not being able to read FO's evaluation of this game makes me sad. Not sad enough to give money to ESPN.com... they might get the idea that I believe their site isn't a nearly unnavigable, horribly written pile of dog-crap.

11
by bird jam :: Wed, 10/07/2009 - 10:55am

Seconded.

17
by PerlStalker :: Wed, 10/07/2009 - 10:34pm

Thirded

7
by Kalyan :: Wed, 10/07/2009 - 2:22am

I don't access to ESPN Insider but i would be surprised as to why Dallas needs WRs anymore than Chicago or New York Giants! These teams don't have probowl WRs. They are building talent internally. The fact of the matter is Tony Romo is a decent QB at best and as hyped as the US real estate market of the mid-2000s.

In fact Dallas had a good WR - Terell Owens and they cut him because it affected the team 'chemistry', 'biology' or something like that ...

In fact Dallas has a probowl WR in Roy Williams. They paid him a ton of money and gave up a first round to trade him from the Detroit Lions.

Don't blame WR talent for poor QB play!

8
by Vince Verhei :: Wed, 10/07/2009 - 4:29am

Roy Williams should never have been a Pro Bowler. He's never been in the top 20 in DVOA. He was in the top ten in DYAR one time (at number ten) because Detroit threw him nearly ten passes per game. He is, at best, above average. And he hasn't been that good for two years now.

13
by Rich Conley (not verified) :: Wed, 10/07/2009 - 2:14pm

"He is, at best, above average. And he hasn't been that good for two years now."

He was better than average with terrible quarterbacking and no second option.

Don't get confused by the Chris Chambers affect again. You can't seperate WR play from QB/Offense play.

9
by starzero :: Wed, 10/07/2009 - 7:47am

since i won't pay espn to read their articles (though i'd probably pay fo a nominal subscription rate), i didn't read this article. the most interesting thing i saw was a sidebar citing talk that crabtree signed with the 49ers. if so, and if he can make up for lost time, might that make them genuine contenders as well?

or do they still need a quarterback?

10
by Phil O'Sopher (not verified) :: Wed, 10/07/2009 - 9:58am

Ummm.....FO r u going to sell all your content to ESPN and leave us, you loyal readers, out in the cold?

At least have this up for free by next week, after ESPN trys to bury it deep in there crap site.

IMHO

14
by The Hypno-Toad :: Wed, 10/07/2009 - 3:05pm

I'm relatively sure that the contract between FO and ESPN would preclude FO from doing anything like that. I'm glad that FO is making money with their excellent work, it's just that every once in a while their evolving distribution model will prevent me from reading something I'd really like to, and then I will (momentarily) begrudge them their success.

15
by BroncosGuy (not verified) :: Wed, 10/07/2009 - 6:42pm

If you were such a loyal reader, Phil, you would know that this has already been explained. Click Here

16
by Vince Verhei :: Wed, 10/07/2009 - 7:05pm

I do think it's funny that it took the loyal reader a month to notice this.

12
by Tim Wilson :: Wed, 10/07/2009 - 1:11pm

I've always been a big time Romo champion/apologist, but a lot of the blame has to lie on him for this game, not just the WRs.

First, the WRs were getting open in the second half, and particularly in the 4th quarter. Tony was just sailing the ball. His accuracy has seemed significantly off this season, and really dating back to his return from injury last season.

Second, those last two end zone throws (to Sam Hurd, at Champ Bailey) are plays that I've got a much higher level of confidence in if your big-bodied WR Roy Williams is in there, not Sam Hurd, who is the #4 WR and #6 receiving option on the team. Roy had successfully backed Champ off and then caught an inside or comeback route twice already during the game, and I don't have a problem with Garrett wanting to continue attacking Champ, at least in principle. But Hurd is not the guy to do it with.