The weekend's biggest upset goes under the Football Outsiders lens.
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04 Jan 2011
To beat the Kansas City Chiefs, you have to stop three players: Jamaal Charles, Dwayne Bowe, and Tamba Hali. The Raiders were able to stop two of them. How many will the Ravens be able to stop?
Posted by: Vincent Verhei on 04 Jan 2011
7 comments, Last at
07 Jan 2011, 2:23pm by
14 carries- 87 yards, 1 TD (6.2 YPC Avg)
If that is stopping Charles... then holy shit.
Yes, but one of those plays was 47 yards, and another was 15. He didn't get very far on most of the other carries.
he broke one long run. not enough consistency. chiefs were in 3rd and long all day. and we man handled the chiefs o-line and cassel paid for it
2 things. First, Jamaal never gets enough carries early.
1st KC Drive - Thomas Jones has 3 rushes for 5 yards.
2nd KC Drive (short field) - Jamaal gets a 5 yard catch.
3rd KC Drive - Thomas jones has 2 rushes for 2 yards. After they get the 8 yards needed for a 1st, THEN Jamaal rushes for the 1st time and gets 5 yards.
The Chiefs have been using Thomas Jones to establish Jamaal Charles when I feel like it should be the other way around. If they use Jamaal first, it gets the defense on their toes since they're wary of giving up the big play.
2nd, the Chiefs got down big. Of course your rushing stats will be lessened when you're down that much.
They never trailed by more than one score until the fourth quarter.
My prediction is that Baltimore stops only Bowe. The Raiders specialize in team speed, which has to be a big part of having successes against Charles.
It's a year of huge cornerback contracts, with A.J. Bouye and Stephon Gilmore breaking the bank. But will these big-money contracts, and the big-time gambles associated with them, pay off?
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