Writers of Pro Football Prospectus 2008

18 Nov 2011

ESPN: No Case For Houston

There are actually three undefeated teams in college football right now, but no one is talking about Houston as a viable national championship contender. Digging into the numbers, Brian Fremeau explains that it might be because Houston has much more in common with the 2007 Hawaii Warriors (a team that flopped badly in a Sugar Bowl matchup with Georgia) than with the non-AQ BCS busters like Utah, Boise State, and TCU that have thrived in recent seasons.

Posted by: Brian Fremeau on 18 Nov 2011

1 comment, Last at 18 Nov 2011, 1:55pm by AnonymousBoob

Comments

1
by AnonymousBoob (not verified) :: Fri, 11/18/2011 - 1:55pm

I think one of the problems with this type of analysis is determining how much of Houston's defensive performance has to do with effort and focus that wanes when up by 20+. I watched the entire Houston-Tulane game and it was clear the defense began going for the big play starting about mid second quarter. The entire second half was basically a joke on both sides of the ball and did nothing to indicate the quality of either club. All I could tell you was that Houston's offensive speed was beyond what Tulane could handle. Beyond that, you couldn't see much of anything.

I think Houston is pretty good, but by no means a top 10 club. Probably in the 15-30 range where teams get jumbled up.