Writers of Pro Football Prospectus 2008

11 Aug 2011

ESPN: Overhauling the Red Zone

What makes the 20-yard line so special? Why does the offense get credit for some red zone scores that should entirely be credited to the defense? Is there a way to incorporate big play potential into our measures of how well offenses finish drives?

For this contribution to the college football preview issue of ESPN the Magazine, I talked with Dana Holgorsen, Frank Beamer, and Dan Mullen, each of whom agreed that the traditional parameters of red zone success are due to be reevaluated. Introducing the Value Drive, a new stat that correlates better with winning percentage than red zone success and has less variability per team from year to year.

The College Football Kickoff 2011 issue of ESPN the Magazine arrives on news stands on August 12th. The complete issue is also available online to ESPN Insider subscribers.

Posted by: Brian Fremeau on 11 Aug 2011

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