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22 Aug 2012
ESPN: Volatile College Win Projections
None of our college football projections are a sure thing, but some team projections are more precarious than others. Miami may have the wildest season of all. The win likelihood for the Hurricanes in 11 of its 12 games falls between 30 percent and 70 percent according to FEI, meaning Miami may be involved in an unusually high number of single-score games this year. Other notable teams with a highly variable win distribution include Michigan State, Louisville, North Carolina and Vanderbilt.
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