Writers of Pro Football Prospectus 2008

19 Nov 2013

ESPN: Better Than Their Records

There are four undefeated teams with their eyes on a potential BCS championship game berth. The BCS standings and each of the major voted polls agree that Alabama, Florida State, Ohio State and Baylor are at the top of the college football world, and the likelihood that at least two of those four will remain undefeated through the end of the regular season is pretty high.

The loss column trumps all other factors in determining the BCS championship pecking order, and teams that have already suffered a defeat have pretty much been eliminated from national championship contention this year. Several teams with two or more losses are completely off the national radar, including a few that may dominate down the stretch.

In this week's piece, we look closer at six teams that are better than their records according to the latest FEI ratings. If each had played the schedule of one of the BCS top-6 instead of its own, they'd all have an extra win or two.

Posted by: Brian Fremeau on 19 Nov 2013

1 comment, Last at 19 Nov 2013, 4:45pm by DisplacedPackerFan

Comments

1
by DisplacedPackerFan :: Tue, 11/19/2013 - 4:45pm

I know that if WIS hadn't been involved in the ref controversy in Arizona and actually kicked the field goal that FEI wouldn't change much, but I would imagine public perception of them and ASU would have. I still think of them as a 9-1 team so the comment that they have an expected 9-1 record against Florida State's schedule didn't mean much.

Did you notice the high amount of interconnectedness of the teams you mentioned? 3 of them were Pac 12, 2 of them played WI. Is some of that helping suppress public perceptions? Georgia on the other had just loses close games to good teams.