07 May 2013
For an ESPN Insider series this week, I ran a first wave of FEI-based projections, identifying individual game win likelihoods based on team, offense, and defensive efficiency ratings. I then ran the win likelihood data through 1,000 trials to calculate the frequency with which each team claimed a conference crown. According to this data set, Clemson is the favorite to win the ACC with an edge over Florida State in the Atlantic division. The Coastal division looks to be a tight race with Miami edging out Virginia Tech, North Carolina and Georgia Tech.