08 May 2013
For an ESPN Insider series this week, I ran a first wave of FEI-based projections, identifying individual game win likelihoods based on team, offense, and defensive efficiency ratings. I then ran the win likelihood data through 1,000 trials to calculatethe frequency with which each team claimed a conference crown. According to this data set, the Oregon Ducks are the clear favorite in the Pac-12 North, and the USC Trojans are in position to take the South.
4 comments, Last at 10 May 2013, 5:36pm by cfn_ms