Writers of Pro Football Prospectus 2008

16 Jul 2013

ESPN: Tough Stretches For BCS Contenders

Schedule strength factors into the BCS title chase every year, but its impact varies by team. Some programs like Boise State have a great shot at going undefeated, but a limited opportunity to play for the title due to the lack of marquee opponents on the slate. Alabama and Oregon will win a lot of games due to team strength and manageable schedules. For others, a sequence or two of tough opponents strung back-to-back will determine if they are a contender or a pretender.

Posted by: Brian Fremeau on 16 Jul 2013

4 comments, Last at 19 Sep 2013, 5:29am by mada25

Comments

1
by IrishBarrister :: Wed, 07/17/2013 - 12:43pm

Brian: For Georgia, the game against at Clemson should be for August 31 - not October 31.

And on an unrelated note, is there any correlation between having a tough stretch (e.g., 4 straight games against top-40 FEI teams) and under performing (i.e., more likely to lose) as opposed to having the tough games more evenly spaced? Just curious.

2
by Brian Fremeau :: Wed, 07/17/2013 - 10:21pm

Good follow-up question. There might not be a large enough sample size to calculate this conclusively. I remember Texas back in 2008 losing to Texas Tech in dramatic fashion, the fourth game in as many weeks Texas played against FEI top-30 opponents (all four were ranked in the top-11 in the polls at the time of the game, actually). Would Texas have remained undefeated if those games had been more spread out?

3
by meblackstone :: Thu, 07/18/2013 - 9:21am

Maybe this isn't the right place, but at least the ESPN article gets that Georgia is on the road at Clemson. The almanac harps a bit on the game supposedly being in the Georgia dome, where the Alabama debacle happened in 2008.

5
by mada25 (not verified) :: Thu, 09/19/2013 - 5:29am

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