Writers of Pro Football Prospectus 2008

27 Aug 2014

ESPN: SEC On Upset Alert

According to F/+ projections, six SEC teams have at least a 5 percent likelihood to reach the playoff: Alabama, Auburn, Georgia, LSU, South Carolina and Texas A&M. No other conference has more than three teams with odds that high. In fact, our projections show an 81 percent likelihood that at least one SEC team will reach the playoff, outpacing the ACC (78 percent), Pac-12 (61), Big 12 (45) and Big Ten (45).

But there is still a 19 percent chance the SEC will be shut out of the CFP in 2014. Inconceivable? Perceptions will shift quickly if the league doesn't dominate its nonconference opponents. And our FEI numbers indicate that five SEC teams have to be particularly wary of an upset this week, starting Thursday with Boise State versus Ole Miss at 8 p.m. on ESPN.

According to FEI game projections, there is a 65 percent chance that the SEC will be on the wrong end of at least two nonconference games in Week 1, and only an 8 percent chance they'll sweep them all.

Posted by: Brian Fremeau on 27 Aug 2014

1 comment, Last at 02 Sep 2014, 1:12pm by whyareunvs

Comments

1
by whyareunvs :: Tue, 09/02/2014 - 1:12pm

Guess this didn't quite pan out as expected