Writers of Pro Football Prospectus 2008

22 Nov 2017

ESPN: Week 12 DFS Matchups

At ESPN Insider, some of our favorite Week 12 DFS matchups include Ben Roethlisberger, Kareem Hunt, Doug Baldwin, and Vernon Davis. Expect a bounce-back week for the offenses in Kansas City and Dallas.

Each week I will recap the picks I made in the previous week's column to gauge the accuracy of my advice. References to rankings are from DraftKings for that player's position.

Hits

Jared Goff (fade) - he was held to 9.8 FPT, so the days of Goff being an every week starter in fantasy haven't arrived just yet. This offense is going to light up some of the lesser prepared defenses, but not so much against someone like Minnesota.

Tevin Coleman (fade) - this was an interesting one, because I wasn't aware of Devonta Freeman's injury status at the time. If I knew he was out, I probably would have said to play Coleman instead of fading him. As it turns out, Coleman finished wit 12.8 FPT as the primary back. So he didn't kill your lineups, but it was only a RB22 finish despite a nice opportunity.

Brandin Cooks - I didn't have many hits this week, but Cooks was one of those rare cases where you expected someone to have a big game and he did exactly that. Cooks' 29.9 FPT gave him a WR4 finish and I like him for the same reasons this week against Miami.

A.J. Green - a late touchdown helped him to 15 FPT (WR19), so not a bad return this week. Green has scored a touchdown in six of his last eight games. Can you believe that the Denver defense is tied with Houston for the most touchdown passes (22) allowed this season?

Golden Tate (fade) - he only finished with 6.2 FPT, making him the fourth-best option you could have chosen among Detroit wide receivers alone.

Misses

Alex Smith - that offensive dud from the Chiefs was highlighted by just 9.9 FPT for Smith.

Blake Bortles - I actually soured on Bortles as the week went on and I wanted to pick the Cleveland upset, but in the end it was just a weak offensive showing for the Browns and the Jaguars. Bortles finished with 9.56 FPT.

Melvin Gordon - you could have done much worse than Gordon's 14 FPT, but a little more was expected on his $7,600 salary. LeSean McCoy was actually RB1 for the week in this game (28.6 FPT) despite Buffalo being blown out by halftime.

Kenyan Drake - he only had 2.4 FPT as Damien Williams (11.2 FPT) broke the big run for Miami this week.

Marqise Lee - again, Jacksonville struggled to throw the ball in this one. I had higher hopes for Lee with Allen Hurns out, but he only managed 9.5 FPT.

Jared Cook - Oakland did not play well against New England's defense, so Cook only finished with 5.6 FPT. Sure, that only put him a point behind Rob Gronkowski, but clearly I expected more here.

Delanie Walker (fade) - the only fade I botched this week, Walker was TE4 with 15.2 FPT, and he even dropped an easy touchdown pass.

Season recap
Week 1: 7-4
Week 2: 6-5
Week 3: 5-8
Week 4: 6-8
Week 5: 8-4
Week 6: 4-8
Week 7: 3-9
Week 8: 6-6
Week 9: 8-5
Week 10: 8-5
Week 11: 5-7
Season tally: 66-68

Posted by: Scott Kacsmar on 22 Nov 2017

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