Writers of Pro Football Prospectus 2008

13 Sep 2017

ESPN: Week 2 DFS Matchups

At ESPN Insider, some of our favorite Week 2 DFS matchups include Tom Brady bouncing back with Rob Gronkowski and Brandin Cooks, and what should be a better week for Carson Palmer, Julio Jones, and Jimmy Graham.

Each week I will recap the picks I made in the previous week's column to gauge the accuracy of my advice. References to rankings are from DraftKings for that player's position.

Hits

Jared Goff - the bargain paid off. Goff was QB10 for the week with the best game of his young career. I feel like the Colts are going to be fantasy gold this year in the way that the Saints and Lions were last year.

Kirk Cousins (fade) - he wasn't terrible in fantasy terms (13.6 FPT), but it's always tough to break the money line with a QB18 finish.

Todd Gurley - that's more like it as Gurley was one of seven backs to crack 20 points. Again, the Colts are going to help offenses out this year. The blocking still wasn't anything to write home about for the Rams.

Adam Thielen - my value pick of the week, Thielen's 27.7 FPT matched teammate's Stefon Diggs' output on Monday night. They tied for WR3, but Thielen was $1,200 cheaper. Playing both was a great option too in a stack with Sam Bradford. Not much has changed for the Saints.

Amari Cooper - the best "Cooper" to take this weekend was Kupp, but on a Sunday without many big WR performances, Cooper's 17.2 FPT helped. He also had another close call with a red-zone touchdown, which was the story of his 2016.

T.Y. Hilton (fade) - the Colts are going to be fantasy gold for opponents, and fantasy garbage for their own skill players without Andrew Luck available. Hilton had just 7.7 FPT even in a game where the Colts trailed big all day.

Zach Ertz - I was big on Austin Hooper too, who finished as TE1, but Ertz was still really good at TE4 (17.3 FPT). My best lineup in Week 1 had Hooper and Ertz.

Misses

Russell Wilson - in a week of unexpected quarterback results, Wilson failed to crack double digits in Green Bay (9.32 FPT). If it's a struggle again with the 49ers at home this week, then I would be very concerned about this offense thanks to that thing masquerading as an offensive line.

Christian McCaffrey - he still put up 12.5 FPT, but I really did not gauge the rookie backs too well this week. McCaffrey was simply not as good as Kareem Hunt, Leonard Fournette, or Dalvin Cook. I'm not even going to sweat the Tarik Cohen pick. You had to be pretty brave to make that play, but sure enough it helped someone win the Millionaire Maker this week (0.2% owned). With McCaffrey, there are rumblings that his touches may be limited going ahead too.

Leonard Fournette (fade) - see above. I whiffed here, and really whiffed on Houston's defense playing a strong game. Fournette was RB3 for the week with 24.4 FPT.

Jason Witten (fade) - the old man proved me wrong. Witten was TE3 with 18.9 FPT in one of his biggest games against the Giants in recent years.

Week 1 tally: 7-4

Posted by: Scott Kacsmar on 13 Sep 2017

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