Writers of Pro Football Prospectus 2008

20 Sep 2017

ESPN: Week 3 DFS Matchups

At ESPN Insider, some of our favorite Week 3 DFS matchups include Matthew Stafford, Carlos Hyde, Martavis Bryant, and Jason Witten. We're also fading Cam Newton's salary as he takes on the Saints without Greg Olsen.

Each week I will recap the picks I made in the previous week's column to gauge the accuracy of my advice. References to rankings are from DraftKings for that player's position.

Hits

Trevor Siemian - This was my "Take a Walk on the Wild Side" pick, and Siemian responded with 24.64 FPT to finish as QB4. That should be one of the best QB values this season.

Ty Montgomery - another big receiving night by a back against the Atlanta defense helped Montgomery to RB2 with 29 FPT. He also helped this week's Millionaire Maker winner come from behind in the final minutes of Week 3.

Dalvin Cook (fade) - I had Cook being faded days before we know Sam Bradford was going to be out. He really didn't have much running room, but did appear to score a 26-yard touchdown run at one point. That would have salvaged his fantasy day a bit, but the review overturned the score, and Cook was vultured by a guy named Ham. Imagine that. Cook finished with 8.4 FPT.

Chris Hogan - he was a good value as expected, finishing as WR12 with 18.8 FPT against the worst defense in football.

A.J. Green (fade) - the Texans put their usual clamps on the Bengals' offense last Thursday night. Green finished with 11.7 FPT and the Bengals still don't have a touchdown this season.

O.J. Howard (fade) - the big debut for the rookie did not net much (2.7 FPT). This was a great week for elite tight ends with Travis Kelce (27.3 FPT) and Rob Gronkowski (26.6 FPT) leading the way in scoring.

Misses

Jameis Winston - only 12.46 FPT for Winston in his season debut. The Bears didn't put up much of a fight like they did with Atlanta, so he only needed 30 pass attempts.

Dak Prescott (fade) - a career-high 50 pass attempts helped Prescott hit 17.92 FPT to finish as QB9 in a low-scoring week. This was clearly unlike any other game script the Cowboys have had in the Dak era.

Marshawn Lynch - this was the right matchup, but little did we know the Raiders would get more rushing yards out of both Jalen Richard and Cordarrelle Patterson, who also scored a touchdown to match Lynch in that department. Lynch's 11.9 FPT weren't a dagger to your hopes, but clearly more was expected here.

Larry Fitzgerald - this one was a big disappointment as Fitzgerald struggled to 5.1 FPT. The Arizona receiver to have in John Brown's absence was J.J. Nelson, who finished as WR2 with 26 FPT. I thought about using him too as a bargain pick, but couldn't pull the trigger.

Jimmy Graham - his 1.1 FPT performance personally killed my key lineup this week, but I feel less bad about the pick after finding out that Graham's ankle was a big problem for him. He may not play in Week 3 because of it.

Week 1 tally: 7-4
Week 2 tally: 6-5
Season: 13-9

Posted by: Scott Kacsmar on 20 Sep 2017

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