Writers of Pro Football Prospectus 2008

04 Oct 2017

ESPN: Week 5 DFS Matchups

At ESPN Insider, some of our favorite Week 5 DFS matchups include Jameis Winston, Jay Ajayi, Tyreek Hill, and Hunter Henry.

Each week I will recap the picks I made in the previous week's column to gauge the accuracy of my advice. References to rankings are from DraftKings for that player's position.

Hits

Andy Dalton - the Browns are fantasy gold right now for quarterbacks. Dalton finished as QB5 with 29.34 FPT. Didn't quite see the stack with Tyler Kroft (value of the week as TE2) working out so well, but that's the second time this year the Browns allowed multiple touchdowns to a low-caliber TE (Jesse James in Week 1).

Devonta Freeman (fade) - just a slight hit here as Freeman finished as RB18 with 15.8 FPT. He was one of the most expensive backs of the week though. Week 4 was largely about the elite backs (Le'Veon Bell, Ezekiel Elliott, and Todd Gurley all in the top four).

Michael Thomas - a rare bright spot in London, Thomas finished as WR5 (22.9 FPT).

Amari Cooper (fade) - Even with Michael Crabtree out, Cooper could get nothing going again in Denver. He finished with 2.9 FPT and is shaping up to be one of fantasy's biggest disappointments this season.

Charles Clay - I had a bad week, but Clay was a real bright spot. He finished as TE3 with 19.2 FPT.

Kyle Rudolph (fade) - a very defensive game in Minnesota led to just 5.4 FPT for Rudolph, so you wanted to avoid him last week.

Misses

Matthew Stafford - things are moving backwards for Stafford here as the Lions rely more on defense and the running game. He only put up 10.06 FPT in Week 4.

Kirk Cousins (fade) some late scrambles helped Cousins to 20.6 FPT, so it actually wasn't a bad night for him in Kansas City. Would have liked to add that touchdown to Josh Doctson in the final minute.

Jay Ajayi - I'm probably going to keep picking Ajayi in favorable matchups, but the Dolphins have to start showing something on offense. That was a brutal performance in London. Only 6.4 FPT for Ajayi.

Chris Carson - this was an unfortunate one since Carson got injured and is out for the rest of the season. He scored 9.6 FPT before leaving the game.

Joe Mixon - only 8.8 FPT for Mixon, who got his touches, but still hasn't impressed. Cleveland's run defense has also been pretty respectable this season.

Allen Hurns - only 8.2 FPT for Hurns, who led the team in targets (10), but it was another tough day for Blake Bortles.

DeVante Parker - I liked both wideouts in the London game, but only the Saints showed up. Parker finished with 12.9 FPT, so not a total bust, but not what we expected at his salary.

J.J. Nelson - Arizona is tricky with four wideouts capable of going off on any given week. Jaron Brown stepped up in Week 4, while Nelson only had 6.4 FPT.

Exclusions

Michael Crabtree - he did not play due to injury.

Week 1 tally: 7-4
Week 2 tally: 6-5
Week 3 tally: 5-8
Week 4 tally: 6-8
Season: 24-25

Posted by: Scott Kacsmar on 04 Oct 2017

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