Writers of Pro Football Prospectus 2008

04 Jan 2018

ESPN: Wild Card DFS Matchups

At ESPN Insider, some of our favorite DFS matchups for the wild-card round include Alex Smith, Alvin Kamara, Keelan Cole, and Delanie Walker.

Each week I will recap the picks I made in the previous week's column to gauge the accuracy of my advice. References to rankings are from DraftKings for that player's position.

Hits

Philip Rivers and Matthew Stafford - it helps when some studs rest for the week, but this was about the best job I did all year at quarterback. I identified the top two passers in Philip Rivers (30.98) and Matthew Stafford (30.12). They had similar stat lines in very easy wins as the only quarterbacks to top 30 points this week.

Blake Bortles (fade) - he played the whole game, which makes it all the more remarkable that he only scored 5.22 FPT, the fewest of any Week 17 starter who went the distance.

Melvin Gordon - he had a solid RB10 finish with 18.4 FPT against Oakland.

Kareem Hunt (fade) - he actually had a 35-yard touchdown run on his only carry, but yes, the Chiefs pulled him out of the game afterwards. So that was a costly 9.5 FPT if you started Hunt.

Doug Baldwin - he came through with two touchdowns to finish with 25 FPT (WR6).

Josh Gordon - the talent is still there. Gordon almost came down with a long touchdown, but just stepped out of bounds early. He still finished with a respectable 18.5 FPT.

Mike Evans (fade) - he's had worse games this year, but Evans is capable of more than 12.5 FPT. He didn't have the season we expected, but the same can be said about the Buccaneers in general.

Jimmy Graham (fade) - he was actually TE11 with 7.5 FPT, because there were very few good performances at the position this week. Still, I can't justify only getting 7.5 FPT on that $4,800 salary, so it was a good fade.

Misses

Kenyan Drake - not a big miss since he still scored 12 FPT, but with his salary creeping up so much, you expected a little more out of him in this matchup than RB22.

T.Y. Hilton - he was a big dud with 4.4 FPT as the Colts rarely threw the ball in their season finale.

Jesse James - when I made this pick I was expecting Ben Roethlisberger to be at quarterback in a normal game, but that wasn't the case. James only had 2.9 FPT.

Season recap
Week 1: 7-4
Week 2: 6-5
Week 3: 5-8
Week 4: 6-8
Week 5: 8-4
Week 6: 4-8
Week 7: 3-9
Week 8: 6-6
Week 9: 8-5
Week 10: 8-5
Week 11: 5-7
Week 12: 7-6
Week 13: 7-6
Week 14: 5-7
Week 15: 7-5
Week 16: 6-6
Week 17: 9-3
Season tally: 107-101

Posted by: Scott Kacsmar on 04 Jan 2018

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