Writers of Pro Football Prospectus 2008

26 Mar 2015, 12:20pm by Aaron Schatz

Playmaker Score 2015 (ESPN Insider version)

Here are Nathan Forster's Playmaker Score projections for the top WR prospects of 2015. We've got Amari Cooper way ahead of everyone else, with some red flags for prized prospects like Kevin White (didn't produce until senior year) and Dorial Green-Beckham (didn't stand out compared to teammates). There will be an expanded piece with all the Playmaker Scores for 2015 (both "rating" and "projection") on FO next week, and then the same with Nathan's SackSEER projections for edge rushers: ESPN Insider next week and FO the week after.

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1 comment, Last at 30 Mar 2015, 2:09am by Dan

07 Mar 2015, 10:41am by Aaron Schatz

ESPN: The Case for Trading Drew Brees

A couple weeks ago in a look at bold moves teams could make in the NFC South, I threw out a quick mention of the idea that the Saints might look to trade Drew Brees and become the NFL's first tanking experiment. Today's article for ESPN fleshes that idea out a bit more with a point-counterpoint of why the Saints should trade Brees to tank, and why tanking wouldn't work in the NFL.

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15 comments, Last at 18 Mar 2015, 11:41am by KilsonFlob

23 Feb 2015, 12:45pm by Aaron Schatz

ESPN: 2015 RB Speed Scores

Here are your Speed Scores for running backs who ran the 40 at the 2015 combine. Matt Waldman fave Karlos Williams is this year's Speed Score champ and a big-time sleeper. Melvin Gordon did fine. Colorado State's Dee Hart is undraftable.

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23 Jan 2015, 09:12am by Scott Kacsmar

ESPN: Russell Wilson Following in Tom Brady's Footsteps

"He just wins" is the most annoying thing someone can say about a quarterback, but the stats for Russell Wilson are too good to label him that way. Despite significant differences in how they play the position, Wilson's three-year start has been very similar to Tom Brady's first three years as a starter (2001-03). They both have an average rank of 10.3 in DVOA and DYAR (passing only) in those seasons. Fittingly, the Seahawks are looking to become the first repeat champion since the 2003-04 Patriots.

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8 comments, Last at 27 Jan 2015, 4:51pm by Aaron Brooks Good Twin

14 Jan 2015, 12:43pm by Aaron Schatz

ESPN: Where Seattle's Defense Ranks All-Time

Because I just can't get enough of writing about the 1991 Philadelphia Eagles, here's a look at where the 2012-2014 Seattle Seahawks defense ranks all-time. I ranked all defenses over three-year periods by harmonic mean of DVOA. If we Andreas Shepard's estimated historical DVOA ratings to go back to 1950, the 2012-2014 Seahawks are 18th and the 1969-1971 Minnesota Vikings are No. 1. This article also specifically explains why Seattle's defense was not as good this year, and how that changed in the last six weeks.

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4 comments, Last at 16 Jan 2015, 7:33pm by Will Allen

08 Jan 2015, 02:02pm by Aaron Schatz

ESPN: Romo, Not Murray, Can Beat Pack

Passing is more important than rushing, and thus the Cowboys need a big game from Tony Romo more than a big game from DeMarco Murray to beat Green Bay.

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7 comments, Last at 09 Jan 2015, 6:44pm by Will Allen

18 Dec 2014, 11:23am by Aaron Schatz

ESPN: Race for No. 1 Pick Update

Here's an update on the race for the No. 1 overall pick. Tonight's Jacksonville-Tennessee game means a lot, but Tampa Bay still has the best shot at it. And check out the ridiculous dominoes that would need to fall for Washington to get the top pick!

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06 Dec 2014, 11:33am by Aaron Schatz

ESPN: Where Contenders Get Beat

Today's ESPN Insider article looks at the biggest coverage weaknesses of top contenders, not by looking at specific defenders but rather by looking at scheme. That means using FO's DVOA "vs. types as receivers" as well as a new table we're debuting today that lists defensive DVOA vs. passes by distance and direction: short/deep as well as left/middle/right. You will now find that table on the team defense stat page and are welcome to discuss here. Thanks to John Argentiero for setting up the Excel macros that made producing that table easier. We'll be updating it each week through the end of the regular season.

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20 Nov 2014, 12:40pm by Aaron Schatz

ESPN: Brees Isn't Problem for Saints

If the Saints are only 4-6, then Drew Brees must be struggling, right? Nope.

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13 Nov 2014, 12:44pm by Aaron Schatz

ESPN: Race for No. 1 Pick

Analyzing the latest FO playoff odds and what they say about the race for the No. 1 pick in the 2015 NFL Draft.

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