31 Aug 2010
This ESPN Insider piece adapts Bill James' old "Favorite Toy" method to look at the odds that one of today's players will eventually break Brett Favre's passing records. Favre's constant un-retirements have made it a lot less likely that Peyton Manning will eventually hold his records, but there's one Favre record that will probably go down. It's a record he doesn't hold yet, and the quarterback to pass it won't be Manning.
13 comments, Last at 01 Sep 2010, 9:46pm by DisplacedPackerFan
Thanks a lot, Dak Prescott. Now more people will think the fourth round is still a gold mine for quarterbacks, but the data says otherwise. The update to our quarterback draft study for 1994-2016 shows little has changed: finding a good QB is really hard.