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12 Sep 2011
A look at why our DVOA projections like Miami so much this season, and an overview of the subjective problems the Dolphins have that our system may not account for.
Posted by: Rivers McCown on 12 Sep 2011
7 comments, Last at
13 Sep 2011, 8:38am by
Anonymous(not that one)
ypa is more relevant than completion percentage as a metric for qb effectiveness. completion percentage overvalues wco passers over qbs in other systems, whereas ypa already penalizes low percentage passers since their incompletes count as attempts. it just doen't double penalize them. not to say that henne doesn't have promise
Got any evidence for your statements?
I'd say a guy with 100% completion percentage at 8 YPA is significantly more valuable than a guy with 10% completion percentage and 8 YPA.
Its the same boom and bust argument as with running backs.
Yeah, in that extreme case, I think you're right.
But would you argue the same thing given one QB at 60% and 8.5 YPA against a guy at 67% and 7.0 YPA?
There's clearly a sliding scale involved.
Of course there's a sliding scale. I never said otherwise.
I just don't think YPA is a good enough stat to ignore completion percentage.
OP didn't say completion percentage was irrelevant, just that YPA is more relevant. Which it is.
Can Miami cover TEs, no. Are they going to playoffs, no.
At least the coach isn't so freaking excited about FGs. Glad he'll be gone soon.
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Offensive line problems highlight the needs in the NFC North ... except in Chicago, which is kind of unsettling to think about.
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