08 Nov 2013
Something is rotten in the state of Florida, and it's not just Richie Incognito. Tampa Bay and Jacksonville are winless, but the Buccaneers have blown four fourth-quarter leads compared to the Jaguars holding four leads the entire season -- none coming after the 12-minute mark of the second quarter.
At Insider we look at the DVOA for all 0-8 teams since 1989, verifying the notion that the Buccaneers are the best 0-8 team and the Jaguars are the worst.
The lack of competitiveness from the Jaguars is astonishing as even the worst teams like the 1976 Buccaneers (expansion year) were still usually good enough to keep the game close late. They may continuously fail to make plays to win games, but at least they still put up a fight.
There have been 34 teams to start 0-8 since the merger. I've included a table that shows how many fourth-quarter comeback and game-winning drive opportunities each had while starting 0-8 (games 9-16 not considered). It also lists how many fourth-quarter leads they held.
|0-8 Teams: 4QC/GWD Opportunities (Games 1-8)|
|Team||Year||4QC Rec.||GWD Rec.||4Q Leads||Team||Year||4QC Rec.||GWD Rec.||4Q Leads|
Tampa Bay's blown four leads (ties 2000 Chargers) while the Jaguars are the only team yet to even have an opportunity. Every other team, even the old ones without clear-cut data, had at least two opportunities. The other teams not to hold a fourth-quarter lead at least had a second-half lead, or in the case of the 1986 Colts, a second-half tie.
The 2013 Jaguars are the only team since the merger to not have a tie or lead after halftime through eight games.
It wouldn't surprise me if both teams got their first win this weekend, but through half a season, how they've played to produce that 0-8 record has been historical.
10 comments, Last at 10 Nov 2013, 6:22pm by Scott Kacsmar
Thanks a lot, Dak Prescott. Now more people will think the fourth round is still a gold mine for quarterbacks, but the data says otherwise. The update to our quarterback draft study for 1994-2016 shows little has changed: finding a good QB is really hard.