20 May 2014
Here are the early projected standings that we used to give Todd McShay a draft order for the 2015 mock draft he did last week on ESPN Insider, along with some explanation of the basic reasons why teams are likely to improve and decline in 2014. Please pay attention when I say "this is not the final, official Football Outsiders forecast for 2014." Some people on the Internets saw that draft order and acted like we had brought the tablets down from Mount Sinai. AFC will run tomorrow.
Short-yardage passing had a good year, except at the end of the Super Bowl. We look at the return of quarterback runs, the rise in pass-happy strategy, and 2014 success rates for offense and defense.