05 Aug 2014
Part II of II. We actually measured here the chances of first-place teams dropping to 6-10 or worse, not their chances of finishing fourth this year, which does explain how Indianapolis can end up second on this list. Let's be honest -- even if they somehow flop to 6-10, the Colts aren't finishing last in that division. The clearly most likely first-to-worst team is Carolina.
9 comments, Last at 06 Aug 2014, 1:53pm by morganja
Comparing the final Football Outsiders F/+ projections to the AP poll and conventional wisdom.