05 Jan 2017, 02:14pm by Aaron Schatz
Here's an interesting little feature for ESPN Insider where I attempted to rank all 12 playoff teams, unit by unit, based on FO stats and consultation with our staff. Feel free to quibble with the WR/TE rankings, which were by far the toughest and could be in a completely different order.
30 Dec 2016, 12:50pm by Aaron Schatz
I had a lot of fun writing this feature for ESPN Insider, finding a past playoff team (since 1990) similar to each of this year's playoff teams. I used DVOA splits but also common sense, to find a team that had similar stats and narrative. Don't worry if you miss seeing Denver in the playoffs, the Broncos are there! The Patriots are the 2013 Broncos, the Giants are the poor man's 2015 Broncos, and the Texans are the 2011 Tim Tebow Broncos because nobody can figure out how they've won so many games.
4 comments, Last at 31 Dec 2016, 1:57pm by JoeyHarringtonsPiano
28 Dec 2016, 01:24pm by Aaron Schatz
This week's playoff odds commentary for ESPN Insider is more focused on each team's chances of winning Super Bowl LI, now that most of the playoff spots have been decided.
1 comment, Last at 29 Dec 2016, 7:30pm by erniecohen
21 Dec 2016, 12:59pm by Aaron Schatz
Here's a look at our playoff odds for Football Outsiders, with commentary including a breakdown of the chances that the NFC North and AFC South will be decided with Week 17 showdowns.
15 Dec 2016, 01:23pm by Aaron Schatz
New ESPN Insider feature, using FO and ESPN stats to measure offensive lines in both pass blocking and run blocking. New Orleans is a surprising No. 1, because Dallas allows more pass pressure than you probably realize. One of the teams playing tonight is in the bottom five; surprisingly, one of tonight's teams is not.
1 comment, Last at 16 Dec 2016, 6:46am by eggwasp
14 Dec 2016, 06:12pm by Aaron Schatz
Here's this week's ESPN playoff odds commentary, looking at an odd week where lots of games have major seeding ramifications but only one has major ramifications as far as whether both teams make it into the playoffs or not.
07 Dec 2016, 02:29am by Aaron Schatz
The weekly playoff odds commentary on ESPN Insider goes further in depth on just how important Thursday's Oakland-Kansas City game is for determining who represents the AFC in Super Bowl LI, plus notes on all the other teams still contending for the postseason.
02 Dec 2016, 01:57pm by Aaron Schatz
Is the AFC South of 2016 the worst division since the NFL went to a four-team, eight-division setup in 2002? Or does that title belong to the NFC West in one of any number of awful years?
1 comment, Last at 07 Dec 2016, 1:46am by DanielBrown
30 Nov 2016, 10:54am by Aaron Schatz
Here's this week's ESPN Insider odds commentary, going through all of the teams still in the playoff race. The Miami at Baltimore game this week is huge and fascinating, given the quality of the Ravens run defense.
22 Nov 2016, 08:11pm by Aaron Schatz
Our weekly commentary on the FO playoff odds over at ESPN Insider moves up a day starting this week. Today, get some insight on why Kansas City is more likely than Denver to win the AFC West, why the NFC East is probably taking two wild cards, and why this Thursday is the best lineup of Thanksgiving games in a long, long time.