13 Sep 2016, 11:10am by Aaron Schatz
People were surprised when our preseason DVOA projections had Baltimore as the No. 5 defense in the NFL, but there are plenty of reasons to believe the Ravens are ready to return to their usual form: mediocre offense powered into the playoff race by strong defense and excellent special teams.
07 Sep 2016, 12:53pm by Aaron Schatz
This ESPN Insider feature piece ranks all 32 teams' schedules for 2016 based on average projected DVOA of all 16 opponents, adjusted for injuries and suspensions early in the season. The hardest schedules belong to San Francisco and the AFC East teams; the easiest belong to Dallas and the teams of the NFC North and AFC North.
7 comments, Last at 07 Sep 2016, 6:32pm by eagle97a
06 Sep 2016, 11:46am by Vincent Verhei
Hey, did you notice in Football Outsiders Almanac 2016, where we compared Shaun Hill and Sam Bradford's career stats and noticed how similar they are? Well... surprise!
13 comments, Last at 08 Sep 2016, 12:29am by LionInAZ
29 Aug 2016, 03:00pm by Rivers McCown
The San Diego Chargers finally agreed to a contract with No. 3 overall pick Joey Bosa today. There are no details yet on which side blinked when it comes to the "offset language" they were fighting over. However, a historical look at rookie holdouts by top-ten picks suggests that the holdout won't actually affect the production the Chargers can expect to get from Bosa in his first NFL season.
4 comments, Last at 31 Aug 2016, 11:57am by Theo
29 Aug 2016, 12:19pm by Aaron Schatz
In a new feature at ESPN Insider, I look at the worst QB situations ever for defending Super Bowl champions. There's a big gap between 47 teams and the 1986 Bears, and then a huge chasm between the 1986 Bears and two Broncos teams, including the current Broncos.
3 comments, Last at 29 Aug 2016, 5:56pm by Aaron Schatz
24 Aug 2016, 11:53am by Aaron Schatz
Each year, ESPN polls a number of writers and editors to make up a list of the top 100 players in the NFL, and each year Football Outsiders writes an article auditing the list and giving players we feel are overrated or underrated by the list. This year is no exception. We choose Adrian Peterson, Jordan Reed, and Marcus Peters as overrated, and Russell Wilson, Lavonte David, and David DeCastro as underrated.
The ESPN reader comments are certainly enjoyable.
7 comments, Last at 29 Aug 2016, 11:30am by ramirez
17 Aug 2016, 09:45am by Aaron Schatz
Over on ESPN Insider, I take a look at the eight last-place teams from 2015 and which one is most likely to make the postseason according to our playoff odds simulation. Things are looking good for Dallas, and San Diego's going to be in the playoff race too. San Francisco and Cleveland, not so much.
15 Aug 2016, 08:34am by Scott Kacsmar
Last week at ESPN Insider, we looked at the top 10 most accurate passers of 2015 in C%+ (derived from drop-adjusted passing plus-minus). This week we looked at six passers among the bottom 10, including Derek Carr, Aaron Rodgers and Andrew Luck.
09 Aug 2016, 08:20am by Scott Kacsmar
At ESPN Insider, we looked at the top 10 quarterbacks from 2015 in drop-adjusted passing plus-minus, which was converted into a rate statistic we denote as C%+. This is a much better measure of accuracy than traditional completion percentage since the distance of direction of each throw is accounted for. Russell Wilson led all players, while Ben Roethlisberger, Carson Palmer and Andy Dalton also experienced career-best seasons.
6 comments, Last at 09 Aug 2016, 11:07pm by BigNose
03 Aug 2016, 10:54am by Scott Kacsmar
Here is our annual piece ranking all 32 teams by how much under-25 talent they have. We've got Jacksonville at No. 1 based on the promise of their three recent high defensive draft picks, plus an offense where the quarterback, running back, and top four wide receivers are all under 25 (and the top two receivers, in particular, are pretty good). Houston and Miami are also high. New England comes in last, with very little talent from the last couple drafts and a defense filled with really good 26-year-olds.