05 Aug 2014, 12:12pm by Aaron Schatz
Part II of II. We actually measured here the chances of first-place teams dropping to 6-10 or worse, not their chances of finishing fourth this year, which does explain how Indianapolis can end up second on this list. Let's be honest -- even if they somehow flop to 6-10, the Colts aren't finishing last in that division. The clearly most likely first-to-worst team is Carolina.
10 comments, Last at 08 Sep 2014, 10:02pm by v3456d
04 Aug 2014, 12:26pm by Tom Gower
Part I of II today at ESPN Insider. Based on FO simulations, which team is most likely to go from fourth place to first place this season? The surprising answer is Buffalo, followed by Houston and Tampa Bay. In last place among the last place teams: Oakland.
30 comments, Last at 08 Sep 2014, 10:20pm by v3456d
01 Aug 2014, 01:53pm by Rivers McCown
How much can one franchise quarterback do when saddled with a bad roster in a bad division? We're about to find out. (Well, again.)
31 Jul 2014, 11:19am by Aaron Schatz
We simulated the season moving Arizona around to every division to see what happened. The result? Their Super Bowl odds would go up 60 percent in the AFC South. It's also good these days to live in the AFC North and NFC East. The NFC West, not so much.
2 comments, Last at 31 Jul 2014, 3:14pm by willybhu
23 Jul 2014, 12:48pm by Scott Kacsmar
At Insider we ranked all 32 NFL teams based solely on the collective talent of their players under the age of 25. Find out which star player made the birthday cut by less than a week, and which Super Bowl XLVIII participant brings up the rear.
5 comments, Last at 28 Jul 2014, 10:52pm by LionInAZ
22 Jul 2014, 10:33am by Aaron Schatz
Here's another preview of Football Outsiders Almanac 2014 while you anxiously wait for tomorrow night's release. Once again this year, our Top 25 Prospects list is also running on ESPN Insider. This is our list of promising lower-drafted (or undrafted) young players who haven't yet gotten much playing time. This year's top five: Andre Ellington, Travis Kelce, Damontre Moore, Jordan Reed, and Terron Armstead.
18 Jul 2014, 12:34pm by Vincent Verhei
Today, looking at teams we think have a good chance to get better or worse in the NFC. On the rise: Atlanta, Tampa Bay, and Washington. Possibly declining: Arizona, Carolina, and the surprisingly old San Francisco 49ers.
17 Jul 2014, 12:50pm by Rivers McCown
Taking a look on ESPN Insider at which teams we think are on the rise or falling this season in the AFC. Moving up: Buffalo, Houston, and Pittsburgh. Moving down: Kansas City, Miami, and the New York Jets.
14 comments, Last at 08 Sep 2014, 10:21pm by v3456d
21 May 2014, 11:18am by Aaron Schatz
Early AFC projections to go with the early NFC projections from yesterday, along with some explanation of the basic reasons why teams are likely to improve and decline in 2014. Once again, please note that this is not the final, official Football Outsiders forecast for 2014, although the final forecast will surely also have Denver awesome and Oakland terrible.
4 comments, Last at 26 May 2014, 7:43pm by Jeff88
20 May 2014, 11:17am by Aaron Schatz
Here are the early projected standings that we used to give Todd McShay a draft order for the 2015 mock draft he did last week on ESPN Insider, along with some explanation of the basic reasons why teams are likely to improve and decline in 2014. Please pay attention when I say "this is not the final, official Football Outsiders forecast for 2014." Some people on the Internets saw that draft order and acted like we had brought the tablets down from Mount Sinai. AFC will run tomorrow.