Writers of Pro Football Prospectus 2008

14 Jan 2015, 12:43pm by Aaron Schatz

ESPN: Where Seattle's Defense Ranks All-Time

Because I just can't get enough of writing about the 1991 Philadelphia Eagles, here's a look at where the 2012-2014 Seattle Seahawks defense ranks all-time. I ranked all defenses over three-year periods by harmonic mean of DVOA. If we Andreas Shepard's estimated historical DVOA ratings to go back to 1950, the 2012-2014 Seahawks are 18th and the 1969-1971 Minnesota Vikings are No. 1. This article also specifically explains why Seattle's defense was not as good this year, and how that changed in the last six weeks.

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4 comments, Last at 16 Jan 2015, 7:33pm by Will Allen

08 Jan 2015, 02:02pm by Aaron Schatz

ESPN: Romo, Not Murray, Can Beat Pack

Passing is more important than rushing, and thus the Cowboys need a big game from Tony Romo more than a big game from DeMarco Murray to beat Green Bay.

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7 comments, Last at 09 Jan 2015, 6:44pm by Will Allen

18 Dec 2014, 11:23am by Aaron Schatz

ESPN: Race for No. 1 Pick Update

Here's an update on the race for the No. 1 overall pick. Tonight's Jacksonville-Tennessee game means a lot, but Tampa Bay still has the best shot at it. And check out the ridiculous dominoes that would need to fall for Washington to get the top pick!

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06 Dec 2014, 11:33am by Aaron Schatz

ESPN: Where Contenders Get Beat

Today's ESPN Insider article looks at the biggest coverage weaknesses of top contenders, not by looking at specific defenders but rather by looking at scheme. That means using FO's DVOA "vs. types as receivers" as well as a new table we're debuting today that lists defensive DVOA vs. passes by distance and direction: short/deep as well as left/middle/right. You will now find that table on the team defense stat page and are welcome to discuss here. Thanks to John Argentiero for setting up the Excel macros that made producing that table easier. We'll be updating it each week through the end of the regular season.

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20 Nov 2014, 12:40pm by Aaron Schatz

ESPN: Brees Isn't Problem for Saints

If the Saints are only 4-6, then Drew Brees must be struggling, right? Nope.

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13 Nov 2014, 12:44pm by Aaron Schatz

ESPN: Race for No. 1 Pick

Analyzing the latest FO playoff odds and what they say about the race for the No. 1 pick in the 2015 NFL Draft.

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08 Nov 2014, 04:28pm by Aaron Schatz

ESPN: Over .500... and in Trouble

ESPN asked me to go through our playoff odds and talk about which teams over .500 were most likely to fall short of the playoffs. Remember, since there's no NFC South team currently with a winning record, there are only 11 spots for 17 winning teams. This features updated playoff odds which incorporate the Thursday night Cleveland-Cincinnati game.

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01 Nov 2014, 01:05pm by Aaron Schatz

ESPN: Denver Performing at a Historic Level

A look at Denver's historically high DVOA ratings, compared to where New England is right now. This is the largest gap ever between Peyton Manning's team and Tom Brady's team before a game between the two.

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2 comments, Last at 02 Nov 2014, 8:59pm by Vandal

18 Oct 2014, 03:07pm by Aaron Schatz

ESPN: Broncos' D Now Matches Offense

Over at ESPN Insider, a look at the Denver Broncos defense which ranks No. 2 in DVOA so far this season.

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09 Oct 2014, 10:58am by Aaron Schatz

ESPN: Seattle Offense is Sneaky Good

This year, the Seahawks' offense might be even better than their defense. Come learn how and why it works, including a look at historic teams dependent on undrafted wide receivers and Seattle's crazy right-side passing stats.

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4 comments, Last at 12 Oct 2014, 12:49am by Vincent Verhei