Writers of Pro Football Prospectus 2008

29 Sep 2017, 11:36am by Aaron Schatz

ESPN: Will Defense Doom Patriots?

Can the Patriots possibly win the Super Bowl with defense this bad? The answer is probably not, but the defense is not likely to be this bad all year. Still, it won't be as good as expectations, and that means the Pats are no longer prohibitive favorites. On the other hand, the team that ranked 32nd in defense after three weeks of 2016 almost won the Super Bowl. This article is free, not Insider.

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3 comments, Last at 02 Oct 2017, 9:40am by PatsFan

21 Sep 2017, 12:14pm by Aaron Schatz

ESPN: Best Coordinators of the Past 25 Years

Or, the Wade Phillips List. The headline here doesn't quite get at what we were trying to do, which was look at coordinators with success at multiple stops. So we only included those coaches who have led units for at least three franchises in the last 25 years. Al Saunders and Ernie (not Ken) Zampese top the offensive list, Phillips the defensive list, and Scott O'Brien the special teams list. (Dave Toub has only worked for two franchises, so he didn't qualify to be listed.)

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18 comments, Last at 23 Sep 2017, 12:04pm by Shattenjager

19 Sep 2017, 02:06pm by Aaron Schatz

ESPN: Ranking 0-2 Teams by Playoff Odds

You've all heard those stats about how only 12 percent of teams since 1990 have made the playoffs after starting 0-2. Yet at least one team has done it each of the past four seasons. Who has the best chance this year? Unfortunately, the best 0-2 team so far is also stuck in a division with three 2-0 teams.

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5 comments, Last at 19 Sep 2017, 5:40pm by JoeyHarringtonsPiano

07 Sep 2017, 12:31pm by Aaron Schatz

ESPN: 2007 Patriots vs. 2017 Patriots

Here's a piece on ESPN Insider, comparing the 2007 Patriots and 2017 Patriots position group by position group. Which team is better? It depends if you look at the average projection for the 2017 Patriots, or the best-case scenario projection. This was originally for ESPN The Magazine but got spiked for space; numbers are from an earlier version of projections and won't quite match the updated projections we ran yesterday.

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1 comment, Last at 07 Sep 2017, 12:50pm by Aaron Brooks Good Twin

06 Sep 2017, 11:39am by Aaron Schatz

ESPN: Ranking NFL's Hardest Schedules, 1-32

New ESPN Insider feature here, ranking all 32 schedules based on average DVOA of projected opponents. There's also some commentary on the hardest and easiest parts of each schedule, and the quirks, like the fact that the NFC South schedule is all packed into the end of the season while the Jets for some reason play most of their AFC East games early on.

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3 comments, Last at 07 Sep 2017, 11:44am by Cheesehead_Canuck

05 Sep 2017, 11:43am by Scott Kacsmar

ESPN: Weakest Depth at Each Position Group

Every NFL team would falter if the starting quarterback was injured. But which teams are most vulnerable if they suffer serious injuries at the other spots?

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0 comments

26 Aug 2017, 10:38am by Scott Kacsmar

ESPN: Breaking Down 2016 QB Stats

What we've got here is a week-long series of stat breakdowns at ESPN Insider, looking at how quarterbacks did in 2016. We'll be adding a new list each day this week. (Click to read more.)

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1 comment, Last at 26 Aug 2017, 11:26am by Happy Fun Paul

24 Aug 2017, 03:49pm by Aaron Schatz

ESPN: Worst Teams/Offenses Since 1987

In honor of the New York Jets' tank-o-rama, ESPN asked me to put together this list of the worst teams of the past 30 years by DVOA. Since our projections say the Jets will have an average or maybe even above-average defense, I also put together a list of the worst offenses and the horrible quarterbacks who made that happen. Those are the teams the Jets will truly be challenging: the 2016 Rams, the 1992 Seahawks, and the 2002 Texans.

This article is free, not ESPN Insider, so please enjoy.

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16 comments, Last at 29 Aug 2017, 11:03pm by D

21 Aug 2017, 08:49am by Vincent Verhei

ESPN: Most Likely Teams to Go Worst to First

Hey, it's a special rare NON-INSIDER piece of FO content at ESPN.com, taking a look at the eight teams that finished in last place in 2016 and looking at which of those teams are most likely to finish first in 2017. If you've read FOA 2017, you know Carolina is No. 1, but the the 2016 last-place team with the second-highest chance of winning its division is different from the team with the second-highest chance of making the playoffs.

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13 comments, Last at 27 Sep 2017, 3:26am by ankit121

11 Aug 2017, 10:24am by Aaron Schatz

ESPN: QB Hope Index

A new feature for ESPN Insider, the QB Hope Index. I broke down the last 20 years of franchise quarterbacks to figure out what indicators help us learn when a young quarterback will fully develop, and then we give the chances for every quarterback from the last three drafts. You may be surprised to learn even Dak Prescott doesn't have a 100 percent chance of long-term success, and even Christian Hackenberg is not at zero.

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1 comment, Last at 14 Aug 2017, 7:21pm by Shattenjager