25 Sep 2014, 11:04am by Aaron Schatz
Eli Manning was never as good as his reputation, and now he's not as bad as his reputation. Can we look back at players with similar collapses to the one Eli had last season, and figure out what is in his future?
4 comments, Last at 26 Sep 2014, 2:21pm by Bright Blue Shorts
18 Sep 2014, 11:00am by Aaron Schatz
Today's ESPN Insider feature looks at four surprise 2-0 teams. Carolina and Buffalo look most likely to continue their success into the playoffs; Houston hasn't actually played that well and Arizona still has hellish division competition.
2 comments, Last at 23 Sep 2014, 2:03pm by
11 Sep 2014, 11:16am by Aaron Schatz
Look, it's a sort-of-summarized version of the Pittsburgh chapter from Football Outsiders Almanac 2014!
07 Sep 2014, 07:31pm by Aaron Schatz
To get you ready for the season premiere of Monday Night Football, here's a piece on why the FO projections say San Diego is the best Super Bowl contender nobody is talking about.
27 Aug 2014, 11:53am by Aaron Schatz
ESPN Insider asked me to give Super Bowl odds for all 32 teams along with a sentence or two about what a championship season would look like for each franchise. These are updated odds that account for the Sam Bradford injury and numerous preseason changes, although not yesterday's New England-Tampa Bay trade. Denver leads at 16.9 percent.
26 Aug 2014, 05:14pm by Scott Kacsmar
At Insider we looked at the 10 teams who finished 4-12 or worse in the highest percentage of our simulations used for projections in Football Outsiders Almanac 2014. Oakland has missed out by the smallest of margins the last two years, but the Raiders lead the way this year.
1 comment, Last at 26 Aug 2014, 8:07pm by herewegobrowniesherewego
21 Aug 2014, 12:06pm by Scott Kacsmar
Is the NFC West the best division ever? Winning percentage and point differential call the 2013 NFC West the best division in the eight-division era, but DVOA actually begs one as being a little bit better: the 2004 AFC East.
1 comment, Last at 21 Aug 2014, 11:21pm by mehllageman56
19 Aug 2014, 12:56pm by Aaron Schatz
This piece for ESPN Insider looks through our various rookie projection systems not just for guys with strong projections, but for guys who will also have the opportunity to be very important this season.
4 comments, Last at 20 Aug 2014, 9:13pm by PaddyPat
12 Aug 2014, 01:48pm by Aaron Schatz
Everyone thinks of San Francisco as one of the NFL's most dominant teams, so why does FOA 2014 only give them a 51 percent chance to make the playoffs this year? In an ESPN Insider article, I explain a bit about why projections are so grouped around 8-8, and why the 49ers' defense may not be as good as we think -- at least through the end of October.
13 comments, Last at 22 Dec 2014, 9:38pm by dongdong31
08 Aug 2014, 11:17am by Scott Kacsmar
Scott Kacsmar explains why an aging and hurting Tony Romo combined with a still-poor defense means another year of missing the playoffs in Dallas.
1 comment, Last at 08 Aug 2014, 1:16pm by Sisyphus