29 Aug 2016, 12:19pm by Aaron Schatz
In a new feature at ESPN Insider, I look at the worst QB situations ever for defending Super Bowl champions. There's a big gap between 47 teams and the 1986 Bears, and then a huge chasm between the 1986 Bears and two Broncos teams, including the current Broncos.
3 comments, Last at 29 Aug 2016, 5:56pm by Aaron Schatz
24 Aug 2016, 11:53am by Aaron Schatz
Each year, ESPN polls a number of writers and editors to make up a list of the top 100 players in the NFL, and each year Football Outsiders writes an article auditing the list and giving players we feel are overrated or underrated by the list. This year is no exception. We choose Adrian Peterson, Jordan Reed, and Marcus Peters as overrated, and Russell Wilson, Lavonte David, and David DeCastro as underrated.
The ESPN reader comments are certainly enjoyable.
7 comments, Last at 29 Aug 2016, 11:30am by ramirez
17 Aug 2016, 09:45am by Aaron Schatz
Over on ESPN Insider, I take a look at the eight last-place teams from 2015 and which one is most likely to make the postseason according to our playoff odds simulation. Things are looking good for Dallas, and San Diego's going to be in the playoff race too. San Francisco and Cleveland, not so much.
15 Aug 2016, 08:34am by Scott Kacsmar
Last week at ESPN Insider, we looked at the top 10 most accurate passers of 2015 in C%+ (derived from drop-adjusted passing plus-minus). This week we looked at six passers among the bottom 10, including Derek Carr, Aaron Rodgers and Andrew Luck.
09 Aug 2016, 08:20am by Scott Kacsmar
At ESPN Insider, we looked at the top 10 quarterbacks from 2015 in drop-adjusted passing plus-minus, which was converted into a rate statistic we denote as C%+. This is a much better measure of accuracy than traditional completion percentage since the distance of direction of each throw is accounted for. Russell Wilson led all players, while Ben Roethlisberger, Carson Palmer and Andy Dalton also experienced career-best seasons.
6 comments, Last at 09 Aug 2016, 11:07pm by BigNose
03 Aug 2016, 10:54am by Scott Kacsmar
Here is our annual piece ranking all 32 teams by how much under-25 talent they have. We've got Jacksonville at No. 1 based on the promise of their three recent high defensive draft picks, plus an offense where the quarterback, running back, and top four wide receivers are all under 25 (and the top two receivers, in particular, are pretty good). Houston and Miami are also high. New England comes in last, with very little talent from the last couple drafts and a defense filled with really good 26-year-olds.
02 Aug 2016, 11:19am by Aaron Schatz
Look, it's our annual Top 25 Prospects list, as also seen in the brand-new Football Outsiders Almanac 2016. This is our annual list of players who were not top draft picks, haven't played much yet, but still may play major roles in the NFL in the coming years. The top three are RB David Johnson of Arizona, DE Danielle Hunter of Minnesota, and DE Henry Anderson of Indianapolis.
This is the tenth anniversary of the Top 25 Prospects list, so I'm sure we'll be writing some sort of retrospective on the site before the new season begins.
1 comment, Last at 03 Aug 2016, 12:37pm by jklps
20 Jul 2016, 12:52pm by Aaron Schatz
Part II of a preview of the Strategic Tendencies comments and some of the other stats you'll find in the upcoming Football Outsiders Almanac 2016. We've gone through and found one positive number for each offense in 2015. Some of these splits are significant for illuminating the strengths and weaknesses of each team's personnel. Other splits tend to oscillate wildly from year to year, and a great performance in 2015 may not indicate that a team will be equally strong in the same ways in 2016.
1 comment, Last at 20 Jul 2016, 2:37pm by Parmenides
18 Jul 2016, 12:37pm by Aaron Schatz
Here's a bit of a preview of the Strategic Tendencies comments and some of the other stats you'll find in the upcoming Football Outsiders Almanac 2016. We've gone through and found one positive number for each offense in 2015. Some of these splits are significant for illuminating the strengths and weaknesses of each team's personnel. Other splits tend to oscillate wildly from year to year, and a great performance in 2015 may not indicate that a team will be equally strong in the same ways in 2016.
08 Jul 2016, 11:21am by Vincent Verhei
Here's a little ESPN feature where the FO staff went through and chose one underrated player from each of the 32 teams. Sometimes, an underrated player is a quality player who isn't well known. Other times, it means a player who most fans think is good but who is really great.