06 Dec 2014, 11:33am by Aaron Schatz
Today's ESPN Insider article looks at the biggest coverage weaknesses of top contenders, not by looking at specific defenders but rather by looking at scheme. That means using FO's DVOA "vs. types as receivers" as well as a new table we're debuting today that lists defensive DVOA vs. passes by distance and direction: short/deep as well as left/middle/right. You will now find that table on the team defense stat page and are welcome to discuss here. Thanks to John Argentiero for setting up the Excel macros that made producing that table easier. We'll be updating it each week through the end of the regular season.
20 Nov 2014, 12:40pm by Aaron Schatz
If the Saints are only 4-6, then Drew Brees must be struggling, right? Nope.
13 Nov 2014, 12:44pm by Aaron Schatz
Analyzing the latest FO playoff odds and what they say about the race for the No. 1 pick in the 2015 NFL Draft.
08 Nov 2014, 04:28pm by Aaron Schatz
ESPN asked me to go through our playoff odds and talk about which teams over .500 were most likely to fall short of the playoffs. Remember, since there's no NFC South team currently with a winning record, there are only 11 spots for 17 winning teams. This features updated playoff odds which incorporate the Thursday night Cleveland-Cincinnati game.
01 Nov 2014, 01:05pm by Aaron Schatz
A look at Denver's historically high DVOA ratings, compared to where New England is right now. This is the largest gap ever between Peyton Manning's team and Tom Brady's team before a game between the two.
2 comments, Last at 02 Nov 2014, 8:59pm by Vandal
18 Oct 2014, 03:07pm by Aaron Schatz
Over at ESPN Insider, a look at the Denver Broncos defense which ranks No. 2 in DVOA so far this season.
09 Oct 2014, 10:58am by Aaron Schatz
This year, the Seahawks' offense might be even better than their defense. Come learn how and why it works, including a look at historic teams dependent on undrafted wide receivers and Seattle's crazy right-side passing stats.
4 comments, Last at 12 Oct 2014, 12:49am by Vincent Verhei
25 Sep 2014, 11:04am by Aaron Schatz
Eli Manning was never as good as his reputation, and now he's not as bad as his reputation. Can we look back at players with similar collapses to the one Eli had last season, and figure out what is in his future?
4 comments, Last at 26 Sep 2014, 2:21pm by Bright Blue Shorts
18 Sep 2014, 11:00am by Aaron Schatz
Today's ESPN Insider feature looks at four surprise 2-0 teams. Carolina and Buffalo look most likely to continue their success into the playoffs; Houston hasn't actually played that well and Arizona still has hellish division competition.
2 comments, Last at 23 Sep 2014, 2:03pm by
11 Sep 2014, 11:16am by Aaron Schatz
Look, it's a sort-of-summarized version of the Pittsburgh chapter from Football Outsiders Almanac 2014!