29 Oct 2015, 03:40pm by Aaron Schatz
This ESPN feature looks at the divisional races using our playoff odds simulation. There don't look to be a lot of competitive races this year, but there's a good one between the Falcons and Panthers, plus the scrum in the NFC East, and whatever you call the mess in the AFC South -- where 10 percent of our simulations end up with a 6-10 team winning the division.
27 Oct 2015, 12:24pm by Aaron Schatz
This article counts down the top ten teams that have a shot at the top pick in 2016. Although no team has established itself as the clear favorite to pick No. 1, there is a fairly significant gap between Lions and the rest of the league. It's not because Detroit is the worst team in the league; our ratings currently put them ahead of Houston and San Francisco. But at 1-6, the Lions are tied for the NFL's worst record, and their schedule gets tougher the rest of the way, partly because of the split between home and road games.
3 comments, Last at 28 Oct 2015, 11:47am by ChrisS
22 Oct 2015, 02:46pm by Aaron Schatz
This week's ESPN Insider feature takes a closer look at what's working and what might be the weaknesses for the top five offenses by DVOA so far: New England, Cincinnati, Arizona, Green Bay, and Pittsburgh.
3 comments, Last at 23 Oct 2015, 10:21am by nat
14 Oct 2015, 04:41pm by Sterling Xie
Using stats from FO and ESPN Stats & Information, we look at the best front sevens so far in 2015. Denver and the Jets are 1-2. Tennessee is a surprising No. 3. And surprisingly struggling so far this year: Buffalo and Houston, despite all the talent on those defensive lines.
6 comments, Last at 17 Oct 2015, 6:58pm by LionInAZ
13 Oct 2015, 11:04am by Aaron Schatz
Using a series of metrics, we look at the best offensive lines of 2015 so far. Cincinnati is No. 1, Atlanta a surprising No. 2. Even more surprising: Dallas doesn't make the top ten, which brings up even more questions about how much the offensive line makes the running back or vice versa.
3 comments, Last at 13 Oct 2015, 5:47pm by ChicagoRaider
08 Oct 2015, 02:03pm by Aaron Schatz
The Packers are automatic Super Bowl contenders because of their offense. But they only become leading Super Bowl contenders if the defense can be better than average. And so far this season, the Packers defense is on an upswing, despite weaknesses against scrambling quarterbacks and third-and-long situations.
07 Oct 2015, 12:22pm by Scott Kacsmar
Which quarterbacks push the envelope on third down, and which are comfortable playing it safe? Our new ALEX metric (Air Less EXpected) tells you who is always throwing short of the sticks, starting with the patron saint of Alex, Mr. Smith.
01 Oct 2015, 04:04pm by Vincent Verhei
This piece by Aaron Schatz for ESPN Insider explains that the Broncos have been even better than we forecast them to be. One reason? New defensive coordinator Wade Phillips' attack-heavy 3-4 scheme, which tends to use one-gap principles more associated with a 4-3 alignment. It's an excellent fit for the specific talents of Denver's top two pass-rushers, Von Miller and DeMarcus Ware. This isn't Phillips' first time getting quick results from a defense.
25 Sep 2015, 10:56am by Scott Kacsmar
The Super Bowl Loser's Curse doesn't really exist, so Seattle shouldn't worry about it. The "Teams That Start 0-2 With Fourth-Quarter Blown Leads" Curse is a little more real, but Seattle is the kind of team that can overcome it.
2 comments, Last at 26 Sep 2015, 12:12pm by Scott Kacsmar
24 Sep 2015, 10:10am by Aaron Schatz
For ESPN Insider, looking at the nine 2-0 teams and their current playoff odds. Which ones are "for real" and which ones just feasted on early competition? (And which ones won their early games close but have ridiculously easy schedules so it doesn't matter if they are "for real" or not? We're looking at you, Atlanta and Carolina.)
2 comments, Last at 27 Nov 2015, 4:57pm by AyoubTab